Nationals at Phillies

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
38.0%62.0%
Nationals WinPhillies Win
3.21Projected Runs 4.48
5Final Score 11
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-01.941.056

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-23.11.086

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+155
L 2-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Jake Irvin • PHI: Zack Wheeler+215
L 0-2 at Chicago White SoxWSN: Patrick Corbin • CHW: Garrett Crochet+153
L 0-4 at Chicago White SoxWSN: Mitchell Parker • CHW: Erick Fedde-105
W 6-3 at Chicago White SoxWSN: Trevor Williams • CHW: Chris Flexen-116
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-167
W 2-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • PHI: Zack Wheeler-235
L 6-5 vs New York MetsNYM: José Quintana • PHI: Taijuan Walker-137
W 5-10 vs New York MetsNYM: Joey Lucchesi • PHI: Ranger Suárez-190
W 4-0 at New York MetsPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: José Buttó-114

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • RFLane Thomas10-day IL
  • 2BLuis GarciaUnknown

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PYunior Marte15-day IL
  • SSTrea Turner10-day IL
  • PTaijuan WalkerQuestionable
NE 7 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)73°74°75°76°
Humidity61%58%56%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNE 7 mphNE 7 mphNE 6 mphNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+202+196+190+195+195+195+196+201.9
Phillies-225-216-230-217-215-217-215-201.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+210+195+203+205+205+200+205+201.9
Phillies-235-230-225-230-230-230-225-201.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +202 to +196
Phillies ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +213 to +205
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-115+1½-108+1½-110+1½-112+1½-110+1½-112+1½-108+1½-102
Phillies-1½-105-1½-108-1½-110-1½-108-1½-110-1½-108-1½-108-1½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+100+1½-110+1½-109+1½-105+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105+1½-102
Phillies-1½-120-1½-110-1½-109-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½-109-1½+102

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7½-113o7½-115o7½-114o7½-115o7½-114o7½-113o7½-104
Underu7½-120u7½-103u7½-105u7½-106u7½-105u7½-106u7½-103u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½-120o8+102o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-115o7½-104
Underu7½-115u7½+100u8-122u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-122