Mets at Phillies

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
37.5%62.5%
Mets WinPhillies Win
3.30Projected Runs 4.60
5Final Score 10
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Joey Lucchesi (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Ranger Suárez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
76-01.720.723

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: José Buttó+113
L 5-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • NYM: Sean Manaea-113
W 3-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • NYM: Luis Severino-105
L 4-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • NYM: Christian Scott+144
L 4-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • NYM: José Quintana+133
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 4-0 at New York MetsPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: José Buttó-114
W 5-4 at New York MetsPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • NYM: Sean Manaea+107
L 6-7 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIA: Braxton Garrett-187
W 8-3 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Taijuan Walker • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-114
W 8-2 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Ranger Suárez • MIA: Trevor Rogers-185

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PDrew Smith15-day IL
  • PBrooks Raley15-day IL
  • CFrancisco Alvarez10-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • 1BBryce HarperUnknown
  • PYunior Marte15-day IL
  • CJ.T. RealmutoProbable
  • SSTrea Turner10-day IL
NE 12 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)62°61°61°60°
Humidity77%78%80%81%
Precipitation28%35%35%32%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNE 12 mphNE 12 mphNNE 12 mphNNE 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+172+174+168+175+175+175+175+180.8
Phillies-188-190-206-192-185-192-185-180.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+172+177+185+180+181+170+185+180.8
Phillies-190-195-205-200-200-190-190-180.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Phillies: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +178 to +172
Phillies ML moved from -208 to -214

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Mets: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 40.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +189 to +181
Phillies ML moved from -190 to -205

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-125+1½-108+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-108+1½-114
Phillies-1½+105-1½-108-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-128+1½-120+1½-116+1½-115+1½-115+1½-125+1½-115+1½-114
Phillies-1½+110-1½+100-1½-102-1½-105-1½-105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-103o7½-110o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+104
Underu7½-110u7½-113u7½-110u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-110u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+104
Underu7½-110u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under