Cubs at Marlins

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
45.2%54.8%
Cubs WinMarlins Win
3.61Projected Runs 4.12
4Final Score 5

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Zach Davies (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
246-95.261.57

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-53.091.179

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 10-14 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Adbert Alzolay • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+108
L 17-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+200
L 10-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CHC: Jake Arrieta+233
L 6-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • CHC: Alec Mills+138
L 4-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Justin Steele+176
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 10-14 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adbert Alzolay • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-113
W 7-0 at San Diego PadresMIA: Sandy Alcantara • SDP: Ryan Weathers+146
L 5-6 at San Diego PadresMIA: Braxton Garrett • SDP: Craig Stammen+215
L 3-8 at San Diego PadresMIA: Zach Thompson • SDP: Joe Musgrove+230
L 8-13 at Colorado RockiesMIA: David Hess • COL: Kyle Freeland+155

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay10-day IL
  • PDillon Maples10-day IL
  • PKohl Stewart60-day IL
  • RFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PPablo Lopez10-day IL
  • 1BGarrett Cooper60-day IL
  • 2BJon BertiUnknown
  • RFJesus Sanchez10-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
ESE 10 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)83°82°80°80°
Humidity78%80%85%88%
Precipitation57%52%63%61%
ConditionRain and HumidRain and HumidRain and HumidRain and Humid
WindESE 10 mphESE 10 mphESE 12 mphESE 12 mph
Joe West
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+157-+140+147+149+147+149-
Marlins-170--160-159-159-159-159-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+159+150+145+140+144+145+150-
Marlins-175-160-159-150-157-155-150-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +135 to +128
Marlins ML moved from -159 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Marlins: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +144 to +137
No Steam Moves On Marlins ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-144-+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145-
Marlins-1½+124--1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-137+1½-145+1½-144+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-144-
Marlins-1½+119-1½+125-1½+126-1½+130-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120-o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-105-
Underu7½+100-u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8-105o7½-115o7½-120o7½-125o7½-120o7½-115-
Underu7½-105u8-115u7½-105u7½+100u7½+105u7½+100u7½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½+102 to u7½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-130