Phillies at Guardians

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
50.1%49.9%
Phillies WinGuardians Win
3.72Projected Runs 3.70
5Final Score 6
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Ranger Suárez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-43.841.353

Gavin Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-23.941.18

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • PHI: Taijuan Walker-102
L 5-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Colin Rea • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-135
W 3-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Julio Teheran • PHI: Aaron Nola-184
W 6-7 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Seth Lugo • PHI: Zack Wheeler-140
W 4-9 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Ryan Weathers • PHI: Taijuan Walker-117
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Aaron Civale • PIT: Rich Hill-135
W 10-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Logan Allen • PIT: Mitch Keller-102
W 11-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Xzavion Curry • PIT: Quinn Priester-120
L 5-6 at Texas RangersCLE: Tanner Bibee • TEX: Martín Pérez+121
L 0-2 at Texas RangersCLE: Gavin Williams • TEX: Andrew Heaney+147

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CFCristian Pache10-day IL
  • PJose Alvarado15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
  • PShane Bieber15-day IL
  • RFWill BrennanRest
  • PCal Quantrill15-day IL
NW 7 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°74°72°71°
Humidity64%65%68%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 7 mphNNW 6 mphNNW 5 mphNNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-125-115-118-118-111-118-111-112.6
Guardians+115+106-102+108+101+108+108+112.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-115-118-114-116-115-118-114-112.6
Guardians+105+108+104+106+105+102+108+112.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -111 to -118
Guardians ML moved from +104 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -120 to -126
Guardians ML moved from +112 to +104

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+130-1½+142-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+142-1½+143
Guardians+1½-150+1½-158+1½-165+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+135-1½+135-1½+146-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+146-1½+143
Guardians+1½-155+1½-155+1½-165+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-118o8½-105o8½+101o8½+105o8½+101o8½+105o8½+110
Underu8½+100u8+102u8½-115u8½-121u8½-125u8½-121u8+102u8½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½+100o8½+100o8½+105o8½-105o8½+100o8½+105o8½+110
Underu8½-105u8½-120u8½-120u8½-125u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-113 to o8½-103
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115