Mets at Braves

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
45.4%54.6%
Mets WinBraves Win
3.99Projected Runs 4.46
5Final Score 6
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
111-45.731.397

Jesse Chavez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
33-22.271.042

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 4-3 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Tylor Megill • ATL: Huascar Ynoa+108
W 3-12 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • NYM: Rich Hill-200
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Elieser Hernandez • NYM: Taijuan Walker-172
W 1-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • NYM: Noah Syndergaard-138
W 2-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Zach Thompson • NYM: Marcus Stroman-194
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 4-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • ATL: Huascar Ynoa-112
W 3-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Kyle Gibson • ATL: Ian Anderson-148
W 2-7 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • ATL: Max Fried-144
W 1-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • ATL: Charlie Morton-117
W 4-3 at San Diego PadresATL: Jesse Chavez • SDP: Joe Musgrove+117

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • 3BJ.D. Davis10-day IL
  • CTomas Nido10-day IL
  • PThomas Szapucki60-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • CStephen Vogt10-day IL
SSE 3 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)78°76°75°74°
Humidity65%70%73%76%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 3 mphSE 3 mphSE 4 mphSE 5 mph
Brian Knight
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+111+100+103+105+103+103+105+108.8
Braves-121-120-113-115-113-113-113-108.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+112+104+104+108+110+113+113+108.8
Braves-122-114-114-118-120-123-114-108.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +110 to +104
No Steam Moves On Braves ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 60.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +113 to +104
No Steam Moves On Braves ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-180+1½-180+1½-192+1½-190+1½-192+1½-192+1½-180+1½-174
Braves-1½+155-1½+155-1½+167-1½+165-1½+167-1½+167-1½+167-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-178+1½-185+1½-188+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-174
Braves-1½+158-1½+165-1½+166-1½+160-1½+155-1½+155-1½+166-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-110o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-101
Underu8½+100u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105u8½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-101
Underu8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under