Astros at Guardians

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
49.0%51.0%
Astros WinGuardians Win
3.95Projected Runs 4.06
4Final Score 3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Justin Verlander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
164-65.551.399

Ben Lively (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2813-93.81.218

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 5-2 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Ronel Blanco • CLE: Joey Cantillo+108
L 8-1 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • HOU: Yusei Kikuchi+138
W 3-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • HOU: Framber Valdez-126
L 6-1 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • HOU: Hunter Brown-122
L 9-8 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Griffin Canning • HOU: Spencer Arrighetti-265
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Ronel Blanco • CLE: Joey Cantillo-118
W 2-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Jakob Junis • CLE: Andrew Walters-140
W 1-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Jakob Junis • CLE: Tanner Bibee-184
L 1-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCLE: Gavin Williams • STL: Andre Pallante+120
L 5-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCLE: Matthew Boyd • STL: Miles Mikolas-122

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • LFChas McCormick10-day IL
  • LFBen Gamel10-day IL
  • DHYordan AlvarezOut
  • PTayler Scott15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAlex Cobb15-day IL
ENE 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°72°70°70°
Humidity78%81%84%86%
Precipitation19%19%15%12%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindENE 6 mphE 4 mphE 4 mphESE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+110+138-+139+140+139+140+144.2
Guardians-120-148--152-150-152-148-144.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+105+130+134+126+133+137+137+144.2
Guardians-115-140-147-141-145-152-140-144.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from +110 to +102
Guardians ML moved from -142 to -148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from +120 to +100
Guardians ML moved from -146 to -152

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-210+1½-163-+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-148
Guardians-1½+180-1½+147--1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+147-1½+148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-210+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-148
Guardians-1½+180-1½+150-1½+146-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+150-1½+148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½-113-o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100
Underu8+100u7½-103-u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-103u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100
Underu8-115u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-113 to o8-123
The Under moved from u8-105 to u7½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8-130
The Under moved from u8-105 to u7½-105