Reds at Guardians

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
43.6%56.4%
Reds WinGuardians Win
3.66Projected Runs 4.33
2Final Score 5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Jakob Junis (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
54-02.610.839

Andrew Walters (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-6 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Jakob Junis • CLE: Tanner Bibee+176
L 2-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Hunter Greene+101
W 1-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • CIN: Rhett Lowder-117
W 3-8 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Nick Martinez-117
L 15-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • CIN: Julian Aguiar+190
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Jakob Junis • CLE: Tanner Bibee-184
L 1-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCLE: Gavin Williams • STL: Andre Pallante+120
L 5-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCLE: Matthew Boyd • STL: Miles Mikolas-122
W 5-1 at St. Louis CardinalsCLE: Ben Lively • STL: Kyle Gibson+102
W 2-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Joey Cantillo+101

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PBrandon Williamson60-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut for Season
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • LFStuart Fairchild60-day IL
  • PJulian Aguiar15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAlex Cobb15-day IL
NNW 3 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°70°69°69°
Humidity79%81%84%86%
Precipitation14%12%10%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindNNW 3 mphNE 2 mphENE 3 mphSE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+129+131+125+129+132+129+132+133.6
Guardians-140-141-149-140-142-140-140-133.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+130+132+128+130+129+130+132+133.6
Guardians-140-142-140-145-140-140-140-133.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +138 to +132
Guardians ML moved from -144 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +132 to +126
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-158+1½-163+1½-170+1½-162+1½-170+1½-162+1½-162+1½-150
Guardians-1½+142-1½+147-1½+145-1½+142-1½+150-1½+142-1½+150-1½+150
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-155+1½-170+1½-172+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-150
Guardians-1½+135-1½+150-1½+152-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+152-1½+150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-103o8-110o8-107o8-105o8-107o8-103o8+103
Underu8½-120u8-113u8-110u8-113u8-115u8-113u8-110u8-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+103
Underu8½-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120