Reds at Guardians

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.3
38.1%61.9%
Reds WinGuardians Win
3.45Projected Runs 4.70
1Final Score 6
Rank10
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.3
Rank10
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Jakob Junis (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
54-02.610.839

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3011-83.561.128

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Hunter Greene+101
W 1-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • CIN: Rhett Lowder-117
W 3-8 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Nick Martinez-117
L 15-3 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • CIN: Julian Aguiar+190
L 7-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Schwellenbach • CIN: Jakob Junis+126
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 1-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCLE: Gavin Williams • STL: Andre Pallante+120
L 5-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCLE: Matthew Boyd • STL: Miles Mikolas-122
W 5-1 at St. Louis CardinalsCLE: Ben Lively • STL: Kyle Gibson+102
W 2-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Joey Cantillo+101
W 4-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Tanner Bibee-128

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PJakob JunisNamed Starter
  • PNick LodoloOut for Season
  • PBrandon Williamson15-day IL
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • LFStuart Fairchild60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFSteven Kwan10-day IL
  • PAlex Cobb15-day IL
SSE 9 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°72°71°70°
Humidity82%85%87%88%
Precipitation37%41%38%38%
ConditionDrizzleDrizzleDrizzleDrizzle
WindSSE 9 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 9 mphS 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+151+171+161+174+178+174+178+179.5
Guardians-165-187-196-190-188-190-187-179.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+145+170+176+171+167+168+176+179.5
Guardians-160-185-195-186-184-186-184-179.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Guardians ML moved from -175 to -183

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +151 to +141
Guardians ML moved from -165 to -180

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-155+1½-128+1½-135+1½-127+1½-130+1½-127+1½-127+1½-116
Guardians-1½+135-1½+112-1½+115-1½+107-1½+110-1½+107-1½+115-1½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-155+1½-125+1½-123+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-123+1½-116
Guardians-1½+135-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-108o8-115o8½-112o8½-110o8½-112o8-115o8½-102
Underu8+100u8½-108u8-105u8½-108u8½-110u8½-108u8½-108u8½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8½+100o8½-110o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½-102
Underu7½-105u8½-120u8½-110u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-110u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115