Twins at Guardians

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
45.9%54.1%
Twins WinGuardians Win
3.21Projected Runs 3.63
4Final Score 5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2812-73.90.99

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2911-83.61.138

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 4-1 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Zebby Matthews • CLE: Gavin Williams+126
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Pablo Lopez • CLE: Matthew Boyd-114
W 2-9 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Rhett Lowder • MIN: David Festa-168
L 11-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Martinez • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson-137
L 8-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Julian Aguiar • MIN: Bailey Ober-210
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Zebby Matthews • CLE: Gavin Williams-132
W 3-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Pablo Lopez • CLE: Matthew Boyd+110
W 0-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • CLE: Ben Lively-114
W 1-6 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CLE: Joey Cantillo-129
L 3-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zack Littell • CLE: Tanner Bibee-175

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFSteven Kwan10-day IL
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
  • PAlex Cobb15-day IL
NE 9 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)77°76°74°72°
Humidity68%70%73%76%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindNE 9 mphNE 8 mphENE 7 mphE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+108+118+112+118+120+118+120+122.4
Guardians-118-128-134-128-130-128-128-122.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+104+120+120+113+120+120+120+122.4
Guardians-114-130-131-128-130-130-128-122.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -101
Guardians ML moved from -122 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twins ML
Guardians ML moved from -123 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-220+1½-193+1½-210+1½-190+1½-210+1½-190+1½-190+1½-174
Guardians-1½+180-1½+172-1½+175-1½+165-1½+175-1½+165-1½+175-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-215+1½-190+1½-195+1½-200+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185+1½-174
Guardians-1½+185-1½+170-1½+173-1½+170-1½+170-1½+165-1½+173-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7-113o7-110o7-114o7-120o7-114o7-110o7-104
Underu7½-115u7-103u7-110u7-106u7+100u7-106u7+100u7+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-115o7-120o7-115o7-104
Underu7½-115u7+100u7+100u7+100u7-105u7+100u7+100u7+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7+100 to u7-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-110 to o7-120
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7-110