Twins at Guardians

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(82-80)
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
50.4%49.6%
Twins WinGuardians Win
3.96Projected Runs 3.92
2Final Score 3

Cleveland Guardians

(92-69)
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
265-54.081.25

Joey Cantillo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-34.991.174

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 4-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Tanner Bibee+120
W 4-1 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Zebby Matthews • CLE: Gavin Williams+126
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Pablo Lopez • CLE: Matthew Boyd-114
W 2-9 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Rhett Lowder • MIN: David Festa-168
L 11-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Martinez • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson-137
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Tanner Bibee-128
L 4-1 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Zebby Matthews • CLE: Gavin Williams-132
W 3-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Pablo Lopez • CLE: Matthew Boyd+110
W 0-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • CLE: Ben Lively-114
W 1-6 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CLE: Joey Cantillo-129

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFSteven Kwan10-day IL
  • PAlex Cobb15-day IL
N 7 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
InSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°77°78°77°
Humidity69%67%67%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 7 mphNNE 8 mphNNE 9 mphNNE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+100-111-116-112-110-112-110-106.7
Guardians-110+101-104+102+100+102+102+106.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+100-111-105+100-105-108+100-106.7
Guardians-110+101-105-115-105-102+101+106.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +101 to -102
Guardians ML moved from -105 to -113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 50.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -105 to -116
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-220+1½-221-1½+150+1½-220+1½-210+1½-220+1½-199
Guardians-1½+180-1½+189+1½-175-1½+190-1½+175-1½+190-1½+199
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-215+1½-220+1½-216+1½-200+1½-220+1½-220+1½-200+1½-199
Guardians-1½+185-1½+190-1½+190-1½+170-1½+190-1½+195-1½+195-1½+199

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-108o8-105o8-107o8-105o8-107o8-105o8+103
Underu8½-120u8-108u8-115u8-113u8-115u8-113u8-108u8-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-115o8-115o8+100o8+105o8+100o8+105o8+103
Underu8½-120u8-105u8-105u8-120u8-125u8-120u8-105u8-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120
Braves at Reds
Blue Jays at Rangers