Padres at Royals

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
44.8%55.2%
Padres WinRoyals Win
4.49Projected Runs 5.03
7Final Score 3
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Randy Vásquez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-35.821.754

Alec Marsh (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-23.241.06

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 11-8 at Kansas City RoyalsSDP: Dylan Cease • KCR: Michael Wacha-131
L 9-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • SDP: Yu Darvish-170
W 0-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesús Luzardo • SDP: Matt Waldron-135
W 1-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • SDP: Michael King-190
W 2-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • SDP: Joe Musgrove+122
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 11-8 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Dylan Cease • KCR: Michael Wacha+126
L 6-7 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Daniel Lynch IV • MIN: Chris Paddack+144
W 6-1 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Seth Lugo • MIN: Bailey Ober+121
L 2-4 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Cole Ragans • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson-130
L 5-6 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Alec Marsh • MIN: Joe Ryan+158

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL
  • 2BXander Bogaerts10-day IL
  • PYu Darvish15-day IL

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 2BMichael Massey10-day IL
NW 7 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°81°81°81°
Humidity55%53%52%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 7 mphNW 7 mphWNW 6 mphWNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-108+104-124+102+106+102+106+106.7
Royals-102-114+104-112-116-112+104-106.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-112+110+103+107+110+105+110+106.7
Royals+102-120-113-122-120-115-113-106.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Royals: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +113 to +104
Royals ML moved from -105 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 60.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +109 to +103
Royals ML moved from -101 to -122

Run Lines

 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+145+1½-188-1½+135+1½-190+1½-180+1½-190+1½-174
Royals+1½-165-1½+167+1½-160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+145+1½-180+1½-187+1½-185+1½-185-1½+180+1½-174
Royals+1½-165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165+1½-210-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9½-103o9+100o9½-105o9-120o9½-105o9+100o9½+104
Underu8½-110u9½-113u9-120u9½-115u9+100u9½-115u9½-113u9½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9½+100o9-120o9-125o9½+100o9½-110o9-120o9½+104
Underu8½-105u9½-120u9+100u9+105u9½-120u9½-110u9½-110u9½-104

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 60.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u8½-103 to u8½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
No Steam Moves On Under