Twins at Guardians

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
39.7%60.3%
Twins WinGuardians Win
3.60Projected Runs 4.68
2Final Score 5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-24.891.654

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-14.341.314

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 4-11 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Logan Allen-120
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Triston McKenzie+116
L 5-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • MIN: Joe Ryan-112
L 4-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Marcus Stroman • MIN: Pablo López-130
L 5-1 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodón • MIN: Chris Paddack+107
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 4-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Logan Allen+115
W 2-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Triston McKenzie-120
L 0-4 at Texas RangersCLE: Carlos Carrasco • TEX: Jon Gray+178
W 7-4 at Texas RangersCLE: Ben Lively • TEX: Jack Leiter+110
W 7-0 at Texas RangersCLE: Tanner Bibee • TEX: Michael Lorenzen-105

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • PBrock Stewart15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFSteven Kwan10-day IL
NNW 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°77°77°78°
Humidity50%50%50%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 4 mphNNW 5 mphNNW 5 mphNNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+115+100-102+102-102+102+102+106.7
Guardians-125-110-118-112-108-112-108-106.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+108+100+100-115+100+100+100+106.7
Guardians-118-110-110+100-110-110+100-106.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +101 to -102
Guardians ML moved from -116 to -122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Guardians: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -109 to -115
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -101

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-205+1½-212+1½-220+1½-205+1½-210+1½-205+1½-205+1½-185
Guardians-1½+175-1½+183-1½+180-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+183-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-210+1½-210+1½-214+1½-240+1½-215+1½-210+1½-210+1½-185
Guardians-1½+180-1½+180-1½+188-1½+200-1½+185-1½+180-1½+200-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-103o7½-105o7½-106o7½+100o7½-106o7½+100o7½+104
Underu7½+100u7½-113u7½-115u7½-114u7½-120u7½-114u7½-113u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-110o7½-108o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+104
Underu7½+100u7½-110u7½-112u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-110u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115