Padres at Pirates

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
54.2%45.8%
Padres WinPirates Win
4.32Projected Runs 3.88
1Final Score 7
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Blake Snell (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-63.221.235

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
168-33.451.111

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 4-9 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Reiss Knehr • PIT: Rich Hill-140
L 8-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • SDP: Seth Lugo-190
L 2-0 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • SDP: Matt Waldron-172
W 3-13 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • SDP: Joe Musgrove-280
W 10-0 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Blake Snell • SFG: Alex Wood-141
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-9 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Reiss Knehr • PIT: Rich Hill+132
L 0-2 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Johan Oviedo • MIA: Eury Pérez+155
L 3-4 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Osvaldo Bido • MIA: Bryan Hoeing+155
W 3-1 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Luis Ortiz • MIA: Jesús Luzardo+189
L 4-6 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Mitch Keller • MIA: Braxton Garrett+152

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PReiss Knehr15-day IL
  • -Tom Cosgrove15-day IL
  • PYu DarvishQuestionable
  • PSteven Wilson15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CLuis Hernandez15-day IL
  • CFBryan Reynolds10-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesRest
  • -Rob Zastryzny15-day IL
  • 2BJi-Hwan BaeRest
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • PVince VelasquezOut for Season
NNW 6 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)74°72°69°66°
Humidity56%60%64%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindNNW 6 mphNNW 5 mphN 5 mphN 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-155-161-165-163-159-163-159-154.9
Pirates+143+151+139+150+149+150+151+154.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-165-156-164-175-159-170-156-154.9
Pirates+140+146+149+148+146+145+149+154.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -154 to -163
Pirates ML moved from +147 to +141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -151 to -158
Pirates ML moved from +141 to +135

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+105-1½+112-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+112-1½+119
Pirates+1½-125+1½-128+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+105-1½+105-1½+114-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-1½+115-1½+119
Pirates+1½-125+1½-125+1½-132+1½-130+1½-130+1½-135+1½-125+1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-113o8-115o8-115o8½+105o8-115o8½+105o8-104
Underu8½-115u8-103u8-105u8-105u8½-125u8-105u8-103u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-120o8½-110o8-120o8-120o8½+100o8½+100o8-104
Underu8-105u8+100u8½-110u8+100u8+100u8½-120u8½-110u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-110