Rays at Red Sox

Updated

Tampa Bay Rays

(80-82)
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1
44.3%55.7%
Rays WinRed Sox Win
3.86Projected Runs 4.45
2Final Score 1

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Taj Bradley (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
247-114.31.25

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
256-114.211.144

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersTBR: Tyler Alexander • DET: Reese Olson+149
L 1-7 at Detroit TigersTBR: Zack Littell • DET: Keider Montero+120
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersTBR: Ryan Pepiot • DET: Tarik Skubal+175
W 3-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Ryan Burr • TBR: Shane Baz-119
W 2-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Yariel Rodríguez • TBR: Taj Bradley-132
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-6 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Richard Fitts • TOR: Kevin Gausman+118
W 6-5 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Brayan Bello • TOR: Kevin Gausman+116
W 4-1 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TOR: Chris Bassitt+110
W 3-9 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Zebby Matthews • BOS: Kutter Crawford+105
W 1-8 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Pablo Lopez • BOS: Nick Pivetta+128

Injuries

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • PJeffrey SpringsOut for Season

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell60-day IL
  • 3BRafael DeversOut for Season
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL
  • PKenley Jansen15-day IL
  • PBrennan Bernardino15-day IL
SSE 3 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)69°67°66°65°
Humidity70%74%79%82%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSE 3 mphSSE 3 mphS 3 mphS 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays+120+106+115+104+108+104+115+108.7
Red Sox-130-116-138-114-118-114-114-108.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays+120+110+107+102+112+104+112+108.7
Red Sox-130-120-117-117-122-114-114-108.7

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Rays: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rays: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rays: 80.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rays ML moved from +115 to +105
Red Sox ML moved from -132 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Rays: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rays: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rays: 40.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rays ML moved from +114 to +108
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays+1½-190+1½-193+1½-185+1½-197+1½-190+1½-197+1½-185+1½-180
Red Sox-1½+165-1½+172-1½+160-1½+172-1½+165-1½+172-1½+172-1½+180
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rays+1½-185+1½-190+1½-192+1½-210+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-180
Red Sox-1½+165-1½+170-1½+170-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-108o8-120o8-105o8-115o8-105o8-105o8+104
Underu8-115u8-108u8+100u8-115u8-105u8-115u8+100u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+104
Underu8-110u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-110
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