Twins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank16
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
50.2%49.8%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
3.64Projected Runs 3.61
1Final Score 8
Rank19
R/G4.7
RA/G4.6
Rank16
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank19
R/G4.7
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3015-83.841.15

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
245-114.371.134

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 4-2 at Boston Red SoxMIN: David Festa • BOS: Richard Fitts-112
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Joey Cantillo+100
L 4-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Tanner Bibee+120
W 4-1 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Zebby Matthews • CLE: Gavin Williams+126
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Pablo Lopez • CLE: Matthew Boyd-114
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: David Festa • BOS: Richard Fitts+108
L 0-2 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Brayan Bello • TBR: Zack Littell-107
W 2-1 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TBR: Ryan Pepiot+105
L 3-8 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TBR: Shane Baz-130
L 2-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Kutter Crawford • NYY: Carlos Rodon+156

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJames Paxton60-day IL
  • 3BRafael DeversOut for Season
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
  • PBrennan Bernardino15-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell60-day IL
NE 12 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterHigh on Under
 
Temp (°F)64°65°65°65°
Humidity77%74%70%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNE 12 mphNE 12 mphNE 13 mphNE 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-122-138-135-142-139-142-135-135.0
Red Sox+112+128+113+130+129+130+130+135.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-129-138-137-143-137-138-137-135.0
Red Sox+111+128+125+128+126+128+128+135.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -129 to -139
Red Sox ML moved from +131 to +124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -142 to -148
Red Sox ML moved from +133 to +126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+130-1½+117-1½+130-1½+117-1½+120-1½+117-1½+130-1½+125
Red Sox+1½-150+1½-133+1½-150+1½-137+1½-140+1½-137+1½-133+1½-125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+132-1½+115-1½+121-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+121-1½+125
Red Sox+1½-152+1½-135+1½-139+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½+102o7½+105o7½-103o7½-105o7½-103o7½+105o7½+106
Underu7½-105u7½-118u7½-125u7½-117u7½-115u7½-117u7½-115u7½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+105o7½-110o7½-110o8+110o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+106
Underu7½-125u7½-110u7½-110u8-130u7½-120u7½-120u7½-110u7½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7+102 to u7-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115