Twins at Red Sox

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(82-80)
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
48.7%51.3%
Twins WinRed Sox Win
3.95Projected Runs 4.08
4Final Score 2

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

David Festa (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-65.071.273

Richard Fitts (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-00.01.125

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Joey Cantillo+100
L 4-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Tanner Bibee+120
W 4-1 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Zebby Matthews • CLE: Gavin Williams+126
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Pablo Lopez • CLE: Matthew Boyd-114
W 2-9 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Rhett Lowder • MIN: David Festa-168
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 0-2 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Brayan Bello • TBR: Zack Littell-107
W 2-1 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TBR: Ryan Pepiot+105
L 3-8 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TBR: Shane Baz-130
L 2-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Kutter Crawford • NYY: Carlos Rodon+156
W 7-1 at New York YankeesBOS: Brayan Bello • NYY: Gerrit Cole+175

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • PJames Paxton60-day IL
  • PBrennan Bernardino15-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell60-day IL
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
NNE 12 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
InHigh on Under
 
Temp (°F)63°62°61°61°
Humidity84%86%88%88%
Precipitation27%29%29%30%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindNNE 12 mphNNE 12 mphNNE 11 mphNNE 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-105-114-120-115-114-115-114-109.7
Red Sox-105+104+100+105+104+105+105+109.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-105-112-117-114-112-118-112-109.7
Red Sox-105+102+107-101+102+108+108+109.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -105 to -112
Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -105 to -112
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+140-1½+137-1½+135-1½+135-1½+145-1½+135-1½+145-1½+143
Red Sox+1½-170+1½-153+1½-160+1½-155+1½-165+1½-155+1½-153+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+150-1½+140-1½+141-1½+135-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+143
Red Sox+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-165+1½-165+1½-155+1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8-118o8-120o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+109
Underu9-110u8+102u8+100u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8+102u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½+100o8-110o8½+100o8½-105o8½-105o8-110o8½+109
Underu9-110u8½-120u8-110u8½-120u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120
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