Red Sox at Blue Jays

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
50.1%49.9%
Red Sox WinBlue Jays Win
4.25Projected Runs 4.24
4Final Score 1

Toronto Blue Jays

(74-88)
Rank24
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank24
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
298-103.211.163

Chris Bassitt (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3010-134.161.434

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-9 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Zebby Matthews • BOS: Kutter Crawford+105
W 1-8 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Pablo Lopez • BOS: Nick Pivetta+128
L 4-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: David Festa • BOS: Richard Fitts+108
L 0-2 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Brayan Bello • TBR: Zack Littell-107
W 2-1 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TBR: Ryan Pepiot+105
Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
L 3-4 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Ryan Burr • TBR: Shane Baz+118
L 2-3 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Yariel Rodríguez • TBR: Taj Bradley+125
L 0-1 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Jose Berrios • TBR: Tyler Alexander-110
W 4-0 at Texas RangersTOR: Kevin Gausman • TEX: Kumar Rocker+120
L 0-2 at Texas RangersTOR: Bowden Francis • TEX: Cody Bradford+102

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • PBrennan Bernardino15-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell60-day IL
  • PKenley Jansen15-day IL
  • 3BRafael DeversOut for Season
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • PKevin GausmanQuestionable
  • LFDaulton Varsho10-day IL
  • 2BWill Wagner60-day IL
  • SSBo BichetteOut for Season
ENE 9 mph
Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°67°66°66°
Humidity85%86%88%89%
Precipitation0%0%4%3%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindENE 9 mphENE 9 mphNE 9 mphENE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+115+104-+105+102+105+105+109.7
Blue Jays-125-114--115-112-115-112-109.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+104+104+110+107+100+100+110+109.7
Blue Jays-114-114-120-122-110-110-110-109.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +102 to -101
No Steam Moves On Blue Jays ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Blue Jays ML moved from -111 to -119

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-210+1½-207-+1½-198+1½-210+1½-198+1½-198+1½-181
Blue Jays-1½+180-1½+178--1½+173-1½+175-1½+173-1½+178-1½+181
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-200+1½-200+1½-192+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200+1½-192+1½-181
Blue Jays-1½+176-1½+175-1½+170-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+181

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8½-103-o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+104
Underu7½-110u8½-113-u8-115u8-115u8-115u8½-113u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o8-105o8-105o8-120o8-120o8-110o8-105o8+104
Underu7½+100u8-115u8-115u8+100u8+100u8-110u8+100u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-113 to o8½-103
The Under moved from u8-103 to u8-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-115
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