Astros at Guardians

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
60.7%39.3%
Astros WinGuardians Win
4.58Projected Runs 3.46
9Final Score 3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
209-42.81.127

Hunter Gaddis (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 6-0 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Justin Verlander • CLE: Zach Plesac-166
W 1-6 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Rich Hill • HOU: Jose Urquidy-184
L 2-1 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • HOU: Cristian Javier-195
L 3-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • HOU: Luis Garcia-164
W 2-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • HOU: Jake Odorizzi-135
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 6-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Justin Verlander • CLE: Zach Plesac+160
W 4-7 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Tommy Henry • CLE: Shane Bieber-208
L 6-3 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • CLE: Triston McKenzie-131
W 5-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zach Davies • CLE: Cal Quantrill-154
W 5-3 at Tampa Bay RaysCLE: Bryan Shaw • TBR: Shane McClanahan+204

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • CChristian VazquezRest
  • RFKyle TuckerUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 2BAndres GimenezRest
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • CAustin HedgesRest
ESE 1 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°80°79°78°
Humidity75%77%76%75%
Precipitation11%8%8%5%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindESE 1 mphSSE 1 mphSE 4 mphSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-200-201-206-197--197-197-183.4
Guardians+165+181+168+181-+181+181+183.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-190-190-200-220-205-196-190-183.4
Guardians+172+175+181+180+185+178+185+183.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -194 to -201
Guardians ML moved from +185 to +173

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -190 to -196
Guardians ML moved from +192 to +180

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½-120-1½-128-1½-125-1½-131--1½-131-1½-125-1½-114
Guardians+1½+100+1½+112+1½+105+1½+111-+1½+111+1½+112+1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½-122-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-1½-114
Guardians+1½+104+1½+105+1½+107+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110+1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-113o8½-115o8-115-o8-115o8-113o8½+109
Underu8½-105u8-103u8½-105u8-105-u8-105u8½-105u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½+100o8-116o8½+100o8½+100o8-115o8½+102o8½+109
Underu8½-105u8½-120u8-104u8½-120u8½-120u8-105u8½-120u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-108 to u8½-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120