Marlins at Twins

Updated

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
40.3%59.7%
Marlins WinTwins Win
3.50Projected Runs 4.51
8Final Score 6
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Valente Bellozo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
123-43.821.304

David Festa (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-64.81.283

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 3-8 at Minnesota TwinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+170
W 4-1 at Minnesota TwinsMIA: Ryan Weathers • MIN: Bailey Ober+216
L 5-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Grant Holmes • MIA: Darren McCaughan+175
L 6-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • MIA: Adam Oller+227
W 3-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • MIA: Valente Bellozo+185
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-8 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson-180
L 4-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Ryan Weathers • MIN: Bailey Ober-240
L 3-9 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Zebby Matthews • BOS: Kutter Crawford-112
L 1-8 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Pablo Lopez • BOS: Nick Pivetta-137
W 4-2 at Boston Red SoxMIN: David Festa • BOS: Richard Fitts-112

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PMax Meyer15-day IL
  • PCalvin Faucher15-day IL
  • PAndrew Nardi60-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL
  • RFMatt Wallner10-day IL
  • 3BJose MirandaRest
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
SSE 6 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°75°72°70°
Humidity46%50%55%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 6 mphSSE 5 mphSSE 5 mphSSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+214+221+210+228+225+228+228+236.4
Twins-240-246-260-258-250-258-246-236.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+213+200+223+210+220+210+223+236.4
Twins-240-240-250-240-250-240-240-236.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 40.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +214 to +206
Twins ML moved from -236 to -243

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 40.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Twins ML moved from -240 to -250

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-110+1½+102+1½+105+1½+109+1½+105+1½+109+1½+109+1½+118
Twins-1½-110-1½-118-1½-125-1½-129-1½-125-1½-129-1½-118-1½-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-110+1½-105+1½+107+1½+100+1½-105+1½+100+1½+107+1½+118
Twins-1½-110-1½-115-1½-125-1½-120-1½-115-1½-120-1½-115-1½-118

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o8½-118o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-104
Underu8½+105u8½+102u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+102u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-125o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-104
Underu8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8½-120
No Steam Moves On Under