Cubs at Twins

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
43.2%56.8%
Cubs WinTwins Win
3.30Projected Runs 4.01
1Final Score 11
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Hayden Wesneski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-13.931.282

Joe Ryan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
75-12.450.841

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 6-2 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Drew Smyly • MIN: Sonny Gray+143
W 4-10 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jordan Montgomery • CHC: Justin Steele+102
L 6-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • CHC: Jameson Taillon-111
L 3-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CHC: Marcus Stroman-113
L 5-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • CHC: Hayden Wesneski+100
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 6-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • MIN: Sonny Gray-148
W 3-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • MIN: Bailey Ober+125
W 3-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Seth Lugo • MIN: Pablo Lopez-125
L 6-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael Wacha • MIN: Louie Varland-109
L 0-2 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Joe Ryan • CLE: Cal Quantrill-152

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • PAdrian SampsonUnknown
  • 3BPatrick WisdomRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PTyler Mahle60-day IL
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
E 14 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
InModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)68°70°72°73°
Humidity60%56%53%47%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindE 14 mphE 14 mphE 14 mphE 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+155+153+141+149+156+149+156+154.0
Twins-165-163-170-162-166-162-162-154.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+150+155+145+148+155+147+155+154.0
Twins-178-170-159-175-170-172-159-154.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +153 to +147
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +156 to +150
Twins ML moved from -165 to -172

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-125+1½-143+1½-140+1½-147+1½-145+1½-147+1½-140+1½-135
Twins-1½+105-1½+127-1½+120-1½+127-1½+125-1½+127-1½+127-1½+135
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-145+1½-145+1½-157+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-135
Twins-1½+122-1½+125-1½+138-1½+122-1½+125-1½+125-1½+138-1½+135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+102o7-125o7½-104o7½+100o7½-104o7-125o7½+105
Underu7½-110u7½-118u7+105u7½-116u7½-120u7½-116u7½-116u7½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+110o7½+100o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+110o7½+105
Underu7½-110u7½-130u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-104
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+110 to o7½+100
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125