MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 24, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Orioles (16-33)
Boston Red Sox (26-26)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Lucas Giolito
52.0%
48.0%
+113
-106
+113
-120

+1½-175
-1½+170
4.58
4.37
8.95
o9-110
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (25-25)
Tampa Bay Rays (24-26)
Jose Berrios
Shane Baz
43.8%
56.2%
+102
-109
+103
-110

+1½-200
-1½+180
3.79
4.44
8.23
o8½-113
u8½-103
o8½-115
u9-125
Los Angeles Dodgers (32-19)
New York Mets (30-21)
Tony Gonsolin
David Peterson
51.3%
48.7%
+106
-114
+106
-115

+1½-190
-1½+175
4.43
4.29
8.72
o8½-108
u8½-105
o8½-108
u8½-110
Cleveland Guardians (28-22)
Detroit Tigers (33-19)
Luis Ortiz
Casey Mize
39.3%
60.7%
+122
-132
+124
-130
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
3.90
5.02
8.92
o8-125
u8½+100
o8-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (33-18)
Oakland Athletics (22-30)
Cristopher Sanchez
Jeffrey Springs
62.8%
37.2%
-165
+155
-165
+155
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.41
3.06
7.47
o10-108
u10-105
o9½-120
u10-105
Miami Marlins (19-30)
Los Angeles Angels (25-25)
Cal Quantrill
Jose Soriano
39.3%
60.7%
+175
-182
+170
-180
+1½-122
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+112
4.14
5.26
9.40
o8½-119
u8½+107
o8½-115
u8½+100
Games for May 23, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Baltimore Orioles (16-33)
Boston Red Sox (26-26)
48.0%
52.0%
-104
-101
-105
-105

+1½-210
-1½+205
7.68
o9½+108
u9½-123
o9-120
u9+100
10th
BOT
5
5
Kansas City Royals (28-24)
Minnesota Twins (28-22)
48.9%
51.1%
+113
-117
+110
-115
+1½-197
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+180
8.27
o7½+105
u7½-115
o7-120
u7½-115
9th
TOP
4
4
Arizona Diamondbacks (26-25)
St. Louis Cardinals (28-23)
49.0%
51.0%
+106
-115
+109
-114

+1½-200
-1½+190
7.60
o7½-103
u7½-110
o7½+100
u7½-105
8th
BOT
5
4
Milwaukee Brewers (25-27)
Pittsburgh Pirates (18-34)
49.9%
50.1%
-106
+100
+100
+100

+1½-200
-1½+195
8.84
o8½-119
u9-117
o8½-110
u8½+100
2nd
TOP
0
1
San Francisco Giants (30-21)
Washington Nationals (23-28)
56.0%
44.0%
-154
+144
-150
+140
-1½+107
+1½-122
-1½+110
+1½-123
8.24
o8½-108
u8½-108
o8½-110
u8½-105
2nd
TOP
0
2
Chicago Cubs (31-20)
Cincinnati Reds (25-27)
52.4%
47.6%
-109
+101
-105
+100
-1½+147
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-160
9.27
o9-115
u9½-123
o9-115
u9+100
1st
BOT
0
2
San Diego Padres (28-21)
Atlanta Braves (24-26)
51.0%
49.0%
+137
-147
+137
-145
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-151
-1½+145
8.37
o9-113
u9-103
o9-105
u9+100
2nd
TOP
0
0
Seattle Mariners (29-21)
Houston Astros (26-25)
48.0%
52.0%
-107
+100
-110
+100

-1½+160
+1½-180
7.68
o7-117
u7+105
o7½+110
u7½-125
1st
BOT
0
1
Texas Rangers (25-27)
Chicago White Sox (16-35)
58.7%
41.3%
-152
+144
-155
+143
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-120
7.90
o8-115
u8½+102
o8½-105
u8½-110
1st
BOT
1
0
New York Yankees (30-20)
Colorado Rockies (9-42)
72.4%
27.6%
-295
+273
-300
+270
-1½-193
+1½+183
-1½-215
+1½+190
9.01
o10½+100
u10½-113
o10½+100
u10½-115
2nd
TOP
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
49.5%
50.5%
-120
+113
-117
+111
-1½+142
+1½-158

2
1
-0.62096-0.63074-0.70267
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
29.2%
70.8%
+195
-210
+195
-210
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-105
9
5
-1.09808-1.09808-1.23004
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
57.4%
42.6%
-143
+136
-142
+135
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
11
5
-0.54235-0.54535-0.55593
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
48.8%
51.2%
+109
-115
+111
-118
+1½-190
-1½+183
+1½-190
-1½+190
7
5
-0.75042-0.76179-0.71744
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
23.2%
76.8%
+223
-240
+227
-250
+1½+117
-1½-130
+1½+125
-1½-135
1
2
-0.36367-0.35636-0.26361
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
23.0%
77.0%
+231
-245
+229
-250
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-120
2
5
-0.35446-0.35455-0.26174
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
36.8%
63.2%
+168
-177
+170
-180
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+115
3
4
-0.45991-0.45497-0.45841
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
41.1%
58.9%
+146
-153
+148
-155
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
4
-0.51413-0.50886-0.52907
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
36.2%
63.8%
+153
-155
+156
-160
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
2
-0.93130-0.94598-1.01711
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
49.5%
50.5%
-114
+107
-113
+106
-1½+145
+1½-158

2
14
-0.74322-0.73854-0.68272
Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Guardians
51.2%
48.8%
-113
+107
-114
+106
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+160
+1½-155
0
5
-0.74108-0.74068-0.71658
Philadelphia Phillies
Cleveland Guardians
60.9%
39.1%
-160
+150
-160
+152
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
3
0
-0.50078-0.49765-0.49521
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
36.8%
63.2%
+164
-174
+168
-180
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
9
1
-0.98452-1.00169-0.99921
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.8%
49.2%
-112
+107
-110
+110
-1½+142
+1½-155
+1½-215
-1½+200
8
1
-0.64942-0.64663-0.67664
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
57.7%
42.3%
-138
+129
-138
+130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-133
7
3
-0.56140-0.55953-0.54997
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
54.6%
45.4%
-145
+135
-143
+133
-1½+107
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-115
12
2
-0.54173-0.54771-0.60429
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.72163 
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.72727 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.73655
-0.01492
-0.00928

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.