MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 23, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Cubs (30-20)
Cincinnati Reds (25-26)
Unknown
Unknown
54.0%
46.0%




4.83
4.41
9.24


Milwaukee Brewers (24-26)
Pittsburgh Pirates (17-33)
Unknown
Unknown
52.0%
48.0%




4.52
4.32
8.84


San Francisco Giants (29-21)
Washington Nationals (22-27)
Unknown
Unknown
61.8%
38.2%




4.78
3.54
8.32


Toronto Blue Jays (24-24)
Tampa Bay Rays (23-26)
Unknown
Unknown
43.5%
56.5%




3.60
4.28
7.88


Los Angeles Dodgers (31-19)
New York Mets (30-20)
Unknown
Unknown
51.6%
48.4%




4.41
4.25
8.66


Baltimore Orioles (16-32)
Boston Red Sox (25-26)
Unknown
Unknown
41.2%
58.8%




3.79
4.71
8.50


Cleveland Guardians (26-22)
Detroit Tigers (33-17)
Unknown
Unknown
39.8%
60.2%




3.94
5.00
8.94


San Diego Padres (27-20)
Atlanta Braves (24-24)
Unknown
Unknown
48.7%
51.3%




4.13
4.26
8.39


Texas Rangers (25-25)
Chicago White Sox (15-35)
Unknown
Unknown
59.2%
40.8%




4.25
3.28
7.53


Kansas City Royals (28-23)
Minnesota Twins (27-22)
Unknown
Unknown
45.3%
54.7%




3.54
4.03
7.57


Seattle Mariners (28-20)
Houston Astros (25-24)
George Kirby
Unknown
50.0%
50.0%




4.40
4.40
8.80


Arizona Diamondbacks (26-24)
St. Louis Cardinals (27-23)
Unknown
Unknown
50.0%
50.0%




4.28
4.29
8.57


New York Yankees (29-19)
Colorado Rockies (8-41)
Unknown
Unknown
70.8%
29.2%




5.94
3.80
9.74


Miami Marlins (19-29)
Los Angeles Angels (23-25)
Unknown
Unknown
45.5%
54.5%




4.24
4.71
8.95


Philadelphia Phillies (31-18)
Oakland Athletics (22-28)
Unknown
Unknown
59.9%
40.1%




4.38
3.34
7.72


Games for May 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
43.0%
57.0%
+134
-144
+135
-140
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
3
-0.54473-0.54782-0.56240
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
39.4%
60.6%
+144
-145
+137
-145
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
10
5
-0.89367-0.87659-0.93229
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
64.8%
35.2%
-180
+173
-184
+180
-1½-126
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+125
9
5
-0.45095-0.43905-0.43320
San Diego Padres
Toronto Blue Jays
44.5%
55.5%
+148
-158
+148
-157
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+130
0
14
-0.50587-0.50687-0.58881
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
47.9%
52.1%
+100
-106
+101
-109

+1½-215
-1½+190
3
4
-0.67889-0.66984-0.65135
New York Mets
Boston Red Sox
44.4%
55.6%
+135
-142
+133
-140
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+148
5
1
-0.86664-0.85830-0.81083
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
48.6%
51.4%
+111
-115
+111
-116
+1½-207
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+190
5
1
-0.75547-0.75760-0.72081
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
32.1%
67.9%
+193
-205
+189
-200
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
8
4
-1.08833-1.07388-1.13597
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
55.4%
44.6%
-139
+131
-140
+130
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-135
6
5
-0.55638-0.55696-0.59146
Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
51.1%
48.9%
+105
-112
+102
-112

+1½-200
-1½+175
5
1
-0.73382-0.72619-0.67170
Baltimore Orioles
Milwaukee Brewers
48.1%
51.9%
-106
-102
-103
+100


8
4
-0.68377-0.68583-0.73218
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
51.4%
48.6%
-160
+153
-158
+152
-1½+110
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
4
8
-0.93879-0.93344-0.72258
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
51.8%
48.2%
-139
+131
-140
+130
-1½+113
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
1
-0.55638-0.55696-0.65782
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.7%
48.3%
-124
+115
-124
+114
-1½+137
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-153
1
3
-0.78397-0.78145-0.72687
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.4%
64.6%
+201
-219
+210
-230
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
4
-0.39470-0.38037-0.43720
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
43.2%
56.8%
+153
-162
+152
-165
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
7
5
-0.94171-0.94353-0.83868
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.71698 
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.71220 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.70988
0.00710
0.00232

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.