MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 25, 2024
Games for Dec 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
48.3%
51.7%
+106
-114
+107
-113
+1½-190
-1½+173
+1½-185
-1½+175
9
2
-0.74068-0.74108-0.72848
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
48.6%
51.4%
-102
-105
+100
-105
-1½+152
+1½-168
+1½-200
-1½+195
0
6
-0.68605-0.68116-0.66466
Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians
49.0%
51.0%
+140
-148
+137
-140
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.88882-0.86814-0.71325
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
46.9%
53.1%
+105
-114
+110
-112
+1½-205
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+184
7
2
-0.73814-0.74642-0.75720
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
48.7%
51.3%
+115
-121
+112
-119
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+178
5
6
-0.61493-0.62491-0.66771
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
62.0%
38.0%
-187
+180
-199
+181
-1½-118
+1½+103
-1½-115
+1½+100
3
6
-1.03829-1.05438-0.96761
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
31.1%
68.9%
+188
-205
+197
-205
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+100
4
0
-1.07696-1.09736-1.16771
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
44.4%
55.6%
+154
-160
+158
-159
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-134
-1½+125
8
1
-0.94120-0.94928-0.81247
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
51.1%
48.9%
+115
-124
+122
-124
+1½-192
-1½+173
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
3
-0.60989-0.59539-0.71502
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees
44.4%
55.6%
+118
-127
+122
-128
+1½-192
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
4
-0.79735-0.80930-0.81222
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
46.1%
53.9%
+125
-131
+128
-127
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
3
-0.82241-0.82223-0.77460
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
38.7%
61.3%
+162
-168
+157
-165
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-144
-1½+135
0
2
-0.47552-0.48547-0.48864
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.4%
55.6%
+119
-124
+122
-127
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+160
5
3
-0.79405-0.80737-0.81261
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
57.2%
42.8%
-156
+147
-153
+147
-1½+110
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-115
5
2
-0.50946-0.51251-0.55860
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
42.5%
57.5%
+133
-139
+133
-140
+1½-150
-1½+146
+1½-150
-1½+145
7
2
-0.85658-0.85830-0.85597
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
57.8%
42.2%
-161
+151
-163
+155
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
11
4
-0.49827-0.49027-0.54829
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.