MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 20, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedCleveland Guardians (25-21)
Minnesota Twins (26-21)
Gavin Williams
Chris Paddack
51.1%
48.9%
+102
-109
+103
-113

+1½-215
-1½+190
4.16
4.04
8.20
o7-115
u7½-123
o7-120
u7+100
Games for May 19, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Kansas City Royals (27-22)
San Francisco Giants (28-20)
41.5%
58.5%
+121
-128
+123
-129
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
8.16
o7½-108
u7½-105
o7½-105
u8-115
6th
BOT
1
3
Los Angeles Angels (21-25)
Oakland Athletics (22-26)
43.2%
56.8%
+153
-162
+152
-165
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
8.38
o10½-107
u10½-103
o10½-114
u10½+100
6th
TOP
5
4
Arizona Diamondbacks (26-22)
Los Angeles Dodgers (29-19)
35.4%
64.6%
+201
-219
+210
-230
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
8.25
o9-110
u9-103
o9-105
u9½-120
6th
BOT
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
50.9%
49.1%
-167
+154
-165
+158
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
2
3
-0.95117-0.95797-0.71141
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
42.8%
57.2%
+123
-133
+127
-134
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-148
-1½+135
4
5
-0.57975-0.57058-0.55895
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
38.9%
61.1%
+154
-167
+152
-160
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-132
-1½+120
10
6
-0.95117-0.93639-0.94420
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
56.7%
43.3%
-210
+192
-205
+190
-1½-135
+1½+116
-1½-120
+1½+115
3
9
-1.09127-1.08152-0.83783
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
48.1%
51.9%
-114
+104
-108
+108
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+190
4
5
-0.73560-0.73237-0.65579
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
39.6%
60.4%
+148
-161
+153
-162
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
2
-0.50301-0.49423-0.50486
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
55.0%
45.0%
-113
+103
-111
+109
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-155
4
5
-0.73091-0.74169-0.79826
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.1%
66.9%
+184
-200
+190
-200
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-105
0
1
-0.42407-0.41690-0.40209
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
26.1%
73.9%
+237
-265
+243
-264
+1½+130
-1½-143
+1½+130
-1½-135
10
2
-1.23743-1.24921-1.34209
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
52.1%
47.9%
-114
+104
-112
+107
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-159
10
3
-0.65243-0.64942-0.65181
Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
47.6%
52.4%
+120
-128
+120
-126
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+180
1
6
-0.59314-0.59626-0.64665
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
46.4%
53.6%
+129
-139
+129
-132
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+136
8
9
-0.56010-0.56957-0.62373
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
47.6%
52.4%
+113
-119
+116
-124
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+152
2
1
-0.76891-0.78651-0.74286
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
53.8%
46.2%
-153
+143
-145
+142
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-104
+1½-114
8
2
-0.51909-0.52957-0.62075
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
33.2%
66.8%
+193
-212
+195
-210
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
4
-0.40699-0.40573-0.40369
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
45.7%
54.3%
+159
-173
+163
-175
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
3
5
-0.47578-0.46844-0.61009
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.66207 
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.66272 
DRatings117-4 (0.636)0-0.67247
-0.01040
-0.00975

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.