MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 30, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cincinnati Reds (28-29)
Chicago Cubs (35-21)
Andrew Abbott
Colin Rea
42.0%
58.0%
+146
-153
+147
-160
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
3.72
4.57
8.29
o9-115
u9+102
o9-115
u9+102
Chicago White Sox (18-38)
Baltimore Orioles (19-36)
Jared Shuster
Zach Eflin
32.5%
67.5%
+190
-210
+190
-197
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+105
2.76
4.55
7.31
o9-104
u9-108
o9-105
u9-110
Milwaukee Brewers (29-28)
Philadelphia Phillies (36-20)
DL Hall
Taijuan Walker
43.7%
56.3%
+112
-120
+116
-122
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.50
5.16
9.66
o9½-113
u9½-103
o9½-110
u9½-105
Oakland Athletics (23-34)
Toronto Blue Jays (28-28)
Jeffrey Springs
Chris Bassitt
39.8%
60.2%
+163
-171
+161
-170
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
3.27
4.33
7.60
o9+107
u9-115
o8½-120
u8½+105
Colorado Rockies (9-47)
New York Mets (34-22)
Kyle Freeland
David Peterson
26.2%
73.8%
+273
-310
+290
-320
+1½+130
-1½-143
+1½+130
-1½-145
2.75
5.23
7.98
o7½-120
u8-113
o7½-120
u8-115
San Francisco Giants (31-25)
Miami Marlins (22-32)
Kyle Harrison
Cal Quantrill
59.0%
41.0%
-162
+155
-165
+154
-1½-103
+1½-113
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.75
3.81
8.56
o8½-118
u8½+102
o8½-120
u8½+105
Los Angeles Angels (25-30)
Cleveland Guardians (30-25)
Jose Soriano
Luis Ortiz
42.3%
57.7%
+129
-137
+129
-139
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
3.47
4.29
7.76
o8½-110
u8½-103
o8½-115
u8½-105
Boston Red Sox (27-31)
Atlanta Braves (26-29)
Lucas Giolito
Grant Holmes
39.6%
60.4%
+146
-156
+150
-162
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
3.96
5.06
9.02
o9½+100
u9½-113
o9½+100
u9+110
St. Louis Cardinals (32-24)
Texas Rangers (27-30)
Matthew Liberatore
Jack Leiter
54.7%
45.3%
-122
+117
-126
+116
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-145
4.45
3.95
8.40
o8½-108
u8½-108
o8½+100
u8½-110
Detroit Tigers (37-20)
Kansas City Royals (30-27)
Casey Mize
Seth Lugo
51.4%
48.6%
-115
+106
-113
+108
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
3.89
3.75
7.64
o8½-108
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Tampa Bay Rays (29-27)
Houston Astros (30-26)
Ryan Pepiot
Framber Valdez
45.0%
55.0%
+137
-145
+137
-144
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+150
3.39
3.92
7.31
o7½-113
u7½-103
o7½-110
u7½-105
Washington Nationals (26-30)
Arizona Diamondbacks (27-29)
Jake Irvin
Merrill Kelly
34.2%
65.8%
+193
-207
+190
-210
+1½-108
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½-110
3.29
4.93
8.22
o9-115
u9+102
o9-115
u9+105
Pittsburgh Pirates (21-36)
San Diego Padres (31-23)
Mitch Keller
Nick Pivetta
35.0%
65.0%
+176
-186
+175
-188
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
2.61
4.17
6.78
o7½+102
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-115
Minnesota Twins (30-25)
Seattle Mariners (30-25)
Zebby Matthews
Bryan Woo
40.8%
59.2%
+126
-135
+125
-135
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
3.05
4.02
7.07
o7-105
u7-105
o7-110
u7-110
New York Yankees (35-20)
Los Angeles Dodgers (34-22)
Max Fried
Tony Gonsolin
50.0%
50.0%
-115
+107
-115
+108
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+145
+1½-158
4.30
4.31
8.61
o9+100
u9-113
o9+100
u9-110
Games for May 29, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
51.1%
48.9%
+116
-126
+118
-120
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
5
1
-0.79039-0.78347-0.67193
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
50.1%
49.9%
-105
-104
-101
-101


1
5
-0.69549-0.69315-0.69445
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
40.3%
59.7%
+174
-186
+177
-186
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+105
2
8
-0.44544-0.44153-0.51651
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
48.4%
51.6%
+138
-143
+134
-136
+1½-155
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
5
-0.53883-0.55479-0.66237
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
71.3%
28.7%
-195
+185
-195
+185
-1½-133
+1½+120
-1½-129
+1½+130
3
0
-0.42580-0.42580-0.33794
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
38.9%
61.1%
+192
-210
+193
-205
+1½+100
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-110
3
11
-0.40916-0.41065-0.49310
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
64.1%
35.9%
-185
+175
-181
+176
-1½-124
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
5
6
-1.02427-1.02165-1.02407
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
57.0%
43.0%
-152
+142
-147
+141
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½-110
3
5
-0.90002-0.88965-0.84413
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
54.8%
45.2%
-104
-105
-103
+100
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
2
-0.69081-0.70051-0.79416
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
57.1%
42.9%
-154
+149
-152
+148
-1½+105
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
7
5
-0.50826-0.51194-0.56010
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
45.5%
54.5%
+150
-161
+150
-155
+1½-132
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
10
2
-0.93300-0.92410-0.78691
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
39.8%
60.2%
+143
-153
+143
-150
+1½-136
-1½+132
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
9
-0.51909-0.52227-0.50818
Cleveland Guardians
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.2%
42.8%
-130
+120
-126
+123
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+125
+1½-135
10
11
-0.80802-0.80793-0.84873
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
45.4%
54.6%
+126
-136
+129
-137
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
5
3
-0.83393-0.84318-0.79069
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
60.6%
39.4%
-202
+185
-195
+185
-1½-143
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+130
1
7
-1.06688-1.05915-0.93123
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
48.8%
51.2%
+120
-125
+119
-124
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
0
1
-0.59784-0.60150-0.66980
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.64358 
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.64609 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.67627
-0.03269
-0.03018

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.