MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 30, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cincinnati Reds (28-29)
Chicago Cubs (35-21)
Andrew Abbott
Colin Rea
42.0%
58.0%
+147
-155
+144
-155
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3.72
4.57
8.29
o8½-108
u8½-107
o8½-110
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (18-38)
Baltimore Orioles (19-36)
Jared Shuster
Zach Eflin
32.3%
67.7%
+195
-214
+205
-220
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-110
2.75
4.57
7.32
o9-105
u9-108
o9-105
u9-110
Milwaukee Brewers (29-28)
Philadelphia Phillies (36-20)
DL Hall
Taijuan Walker
43.7%
56.3%
+119
-125
+128
-134
+1½-163
-1½+153
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.52
5.17
9.69
o9½-115
u10-113
o9½-110
u9½-105
Oakland Athletics (23-34)
Toronto Blue Jays (28-28)
Jeffrey Springs
Chris Bassitt
39.8%
60.2%
+147
-157
+145
-158
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+130
3.27
4.33
7.60
o8½-118
u9-120
o8½-115
u8½+100
Colorado Rockies (9-47)
New York Mets (34-22)
Kyle Freeland
David Peterson
26.2%
73.8%
+273
-305
+290
-320
+1½+127
-1½-140
+1½+135
-1½-150
2.83
5.32
8.15
o8+102
u7½+100
o7½-120
u8-115
San Francisco Giants (31-25)
Miami Marlins (22-32)
Kyle Harrison
Cal Quantrill
59.0%
41.0%
-162
+155
-165
+155
-1½-103
+1½-113
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.75
3.81
8.56
o8½-108
u8½-108
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Angels (25-30)
Cleveland Guardians (30-25)
Jose Soriano
Luis Ortiz
42.3%
57.7%
+129
-137
+130
-140
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.47
4.29
7.76
o8-118
u8+105
o8-115
u8-105
Boston Red Sox (27-31)
Atlanta Braves (26-29)
Lucas Giolito
Grant Holmes
39.6%
60.4%
+148
-157
+147
-160
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
3.99
5.09
9.08
o9½+100
u9½-113
o9½+100
u9+110
St. Louis Cardinals (32-24)
Texas Rangers (27-30)
Matthew Liberatore
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
53.2%
46.8%
-134
+124
-132
+122
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-140
4.27
3.94
8.21
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-105
Detroit Tigers (37-20)
Kansas City Royals (30-27)
Casey Mize
Seth Lugo
51.4%
48.6%
-115
+105
-113
+105
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+140
+1½-160
3.89
3.75
7.64
o8½-108
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Tampa Bay Rays (29-27)
Houston Astros (30-26)
Ryan Pepiot
Framber Valdez
45.0%
55.0%
+147
-155
+147
-160
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+135
3.38
3.91
7.29
o8-105
u8-108
o8+100
u8-115
Washington Nationals (26-30)
Arizona Diamondbacks (27-29)
Jake Irvin
Merrill Kelly
34.2%
65.8%
+190
-207
+190
-210
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½-110
3.29
4.93
8.22
o9-115
u9+102
o9-115
u9+105
Pittsburgh Pirates (21-36)
San Diego Padres (31-23)
Mitch Keller
Nick Pivetta
35.0%
65.0%
+176
-183
+175
-185
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
2.61
4.17
6.78
o7½+102
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-115
Minnesota Twins (30-25)
Seattle Mariners (30-25)
Zebby Matthews
Bryan Woo
40.8%
59.2%
+126
-133
+120
-129
+1½-173
-1½+161
+1½-185
-1½+170
3.05
4.02
7.07
o7-105
u7-105
o7-110
u7-110
New York Yankees (35-20)
Los Angeles Dodgers (34-22)
Max Fried
Tony Gonsolin
50.0%
50.0%
-114
+105
-114
+104
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.30
4.31
8.61
o9-105
u9-108
o9-105
u9-110
Games for May 29, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.4%
69.6%
+195
-208
+195
-206
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+100
1
3
-0.40677-0.40782-0.36274
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
45.3%
54.7%
+126
-131
+125
-130
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
4
7
-0.57675-0.58016-0.60400
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
71.7%
28.3%
-255
+240
-256
+235
-1½-156
+1½+145
-1½-160
+1½+145
2
5
-1.23612-1.22642-1.26309
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
49.6%
50.4%
+101
-109
+100
-107


16
4
-0.71701-0.70991-0.70176
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
45.8%
54.2%
+147
-155
+146
-154
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+130
3
7
-0.51046-0.51309-0.61194
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
49.0%
51.0%
+150
-161
+151
-158
+1½-149
-1½+133
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
1
-0.93300-0.93102-0.71321
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
43.9%
56.1%
+125
-134
+125
-130
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-170
-1½+150
6
3
-0.82789-0.82055-0.82223
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
42.1%
57.9%
+100
-106
+101
-108
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+187
3
5
-0.67889-0.67201-0.54600
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
56.9%
43.1%
-195
+181
-195
+180
-1½-123
+1½+108
-1½-115
+1½+105
2
3
-1.04994-1.04762-0.84162
Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks
46.5%
53.5%
+105
-105
-102
-101
-1½+148
+1½-163

3
0
-0.71785-0.69071-0.76524
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.3%
62.7%
+140
-147
+135
-139
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
2
-0.88719-0.86152-0.98559
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
54.1%
45.9%
-104
-105
-104
-105
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+145
+1½-159
7
6
-0.69549-0.69549-0.61404
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
41.2%
58.8%
+157
-162
+160
-170
+1½-121
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+112
3
4
-0.48815-0.47678-0.53142
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
51.3%
48.7%
+104
-112
+104
-110
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
7
6
-0.73126-0.72685-0.66781
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
37.4%
62.6%
+157
-170
+160
-165
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+125
2
6
-0.48119-0.48102-0.46802
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
50.2%
49.8%
+131
-130
+121
-130
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
9
10
-0.56867-0.58810-0.69651
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.61643 
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.61929 
DRatings53-2 (0.600)0-0.64393
-0.02750
-0.02464

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.