MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 23, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedBaltimore Orioles (16-32)
Boston Red Sox (25-26)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Lucas Giolito
45.8%
54.2%
+113
-121
+113
-123
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+155
4.33
4.77
9.10
o9½+100
u9½-113
o9½-105
u9½-105
Games for May 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
40.0%
60.0%
+131
-140
+130
-136
+1½-172
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+161
2
1
-0.85334-0.84390-0.91734
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
32.8%
67.2%
+276
-295
+276
-310
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-135
2
4
-0.30462-0.30140-0.39751
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
44.4%
55.6%
+138
-148
+142
-148
+1½-144
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+130
2
3
-0.53302-0.52616-0.58733
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
52.4%
47.6%
-130
+122
-128
+122
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
4
3
-0.58609-0.58909-0.64556
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
53.6%
46.4%
-148
+138
-143
+140
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
14
11
-0.53302-0.53536-0.62392
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
43.4%
56.6%
+143
-146
+147
-152
+1½-139
-1½+126
+1½-136
-1½+120
7
8
-0.52672-0.51355-0.56865
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
57.1%
42.9%
-164
+153
-160
+156
-1½-115
+1½-101
-1½-110
+1½+100
9
1
-0.49243-0.49151-0.56051
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+135
-142
+135
-140
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+145
8
4
-0.86664-0.86325-0.83082
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
40.4%
59.6%
+133
-142
+135
-144
+1½-160
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+141
2
4
-0.54894-0.54294-0.51704
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
55.5%
44.5%
-135
+128
-134
+130
-1½+115
+1½-134
-1½+112
+1½-125
11
6
-0.56729-0.56488-0.58877
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
47.9%
52.1%
-103
-105
-102
-105

+1½-200
-1½+180
8
9
-0.68844-0.68605-0.65249
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians
42.6%
57.4%
+104
-111
+110
-111
+1½-195
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+176
2
9
-0.65846-0.64459-0.55497
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
49.2%
50.8%
-117
+107
-115
+110
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-158
6
2
-0.63974-0.63673-0.70985
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
58.4%
41.6%
-177
+163
-179
+170
-1½-115
+1½-104
-1½-110
+1½+100
3
7
-0.98602-1.00512-0.87690
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
53.4%
46.6%
-123
+114
-125
+115
-1½+131
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-145
3
6
-0.77949-0.78592-0.76404
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
54.8%
45.2%
-130
+121
-128
+123
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-144
1
7
-0.81054-0.81180-0.79487
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.71742 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.72119 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.72502
-0.00760
-0.00383

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.