MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 21, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedAtlanta Braves (24-24)
Washington Nationals (22-27)
AJ Smith-Shawver
Trevor Williams
59.3%
40.7%
-145
+135
-155
+140
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
5.04
4.07
9.11
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Philadelphia Phillies (30-18)
Colorado Rockies (8-40)
Taijuan Walker
Carson Palmquist
64.8%
35.2%
-180
+173
-184
+180
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+125
5.55
3.99
9.54
o11-115
u11½-118
o11-115
u11+100
Overall Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (22-25)
Oakland Athletics (22-27)
Jack Kochanowicz
JP Sears
39.4%
60.6%
+147
-156
+150
-157
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
3.43
4.53
7.96
o10-107
u10-108
o10-115
u10½-115
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (26-23)
Los Angeles Dodgers (30-19)
Corbin Burnes
Dustin May
43.0%
57.0%
+128
-135
+130
-140
+1½-163
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+150
3.94
4.68
8.62
o9½+102
u9½-118
o9-115
u9+110
Games for May 20, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New York Mets (29-20)
Boston Red Sox (25-25)
44.4%
55.6%
+135
-142
+133
-140
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+148
6.99
o7-110
u7+102
o7-120
u7½-120
3rd
BOT
1
0
Texas Rangers (25-24)
New York Yankees (28-19)
47.9%
52.1%
+100
-106
+101
-109

+1½-215
-1½+190
7.19
o7½+105
u7½-110
o7½+100
u7½-110
2nd
TOP
0
0
San Diego Padres (27-19)
Toronto Blue Jays (23-24)
44.5%
55.5%
+148
-158
+148
-157
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+130
8.09
o9+107
u9-120
o8½-115
u8½+100
2nd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
41.5%
58.5%
+106
-115
+110
-115
+1½-180
-1½+166
+1½-180
-1½+165
6
0
-0.74282-0.75294-0.87940
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
52.3%
47.7%
-143
+133
-140
+132
-1½+104
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-120
4
5
-0.86339-0.85583-0.74070
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
27.2%
72.8%
+283
-320
+290
-310
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+145
-1½-150
0
7
-0.29468-0.29201-0.31759
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
49.2%
50.8%
+103
-110
+102
-106
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-218
-1½+195
6
7
-0.66291-0.67401-0.67666
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
37.1%
62.9%
+167
-180
+165
-176
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+108
8
2
-0.99932-0.98948-0.99077
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
47.5%
52.5%
+106
-116
+105
-112
+1½-200
-1½+175

2
0
-0.74492-0.73382-0.74417
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
58.0%
42.0%
-127
+119
-130
+123
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
3
-0.79986-0.81556-0.86652
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
46.4%
53.6%
-116
+110
-113
+110
-1½+166
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-182
0
4
-0.75509-0.74862-0.62394
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
36.5%
63.5%
-102
-106
+100
-104
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+195
3
14
-0.68377-0.68349-0.45437
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
42.7%
57.3%
+135
-145
+133
-142
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
2
-0.87165-0.86171-0.85008
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
41.6%
58.4%
+149
-159
+152
-158
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
14
8
-0.92766-0.93344-0.87810
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
47.3%
52.7%
+128
-124
+120
-125
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
6
7
-0.58350-0.59784-0.64120
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
39.7%
60.3%
+150
-160
+155
-163
+1½-130
-1½+129
+1½-130
-1½+115
8
3
-0.93397-0.94794-0.92432
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
48.3%
51.7%
+104
-111
+107
-110
+1½-184
-1½+166
+1½-185
-1½+166
3
7
-0.65846-0.65350-0.65898
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
65.6%
34.4%
-230
+216
-233
+215
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-138
+1½+125
4
8
-1.16389-1.16443-1.06613
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
41.7%
58.3%
+142
+100
+142
-150

+1½-171
-1½+160
3
4
-0.60237-0.52396-0.53899
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.69549 
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.69165 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.68711
0.00838
0.00454

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.