MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 30, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cincinnati Reds (28-29)
Chicago Cubs (35-21)
Andrew Abbott
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
40.3%
59.7%
+140
-168
+150
-165
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
3.55
4.56
8.11
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Milwaukee Brewers (29-28)
Philadelphia Phillies (36-20)
DL Hall
Taijuan Walker
43.7%
56.3%
+124
-132
+128
-133
+1½-163
-1½+149
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.52
5.17
9.69
o9½+105
u9½-118
o9-120
u9+105
Chicago White Sox (18-38)
Baltimore Orioles (19-36)
Sean Burke
Zach Eflin
33.0%
67.0%
+195
-213
+200
-220
+1½-108
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-110
2.74
4.49
7.23
o9-115
u9+102
o9+100
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (23-34)
Toronto Blue Jays (28-28)
Jeffrey Springs
Chris Bassitt
39.8%
60.2%
+149
-157
+145
-158
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
3.27
4.33
7.60
o8½-113
u8½-103
o8-110
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (9-47)
New York Mets (34-22)
Kyle Freeland
David Peterson
26.2%
73.8%
+298
-340
+310
-350
+1½+132
-1½-148
+1½+140
-1½-155
2.83
5.32
8.15
o8+102
u7½+100
o7½-120
u8-115
San Francisco Giants (31-25)
Miami Marlins (22-32)
Kyle Harrison
Cal Quantrill
59.0%
41.0%
-162
+152
-169
+155
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.75
3.81
8.56
o8½-108
u8½-108
o8½-110
u8½-105
Los Angeles Angels (25-30)
Cleveland Guardians (30-25)
Jose Soriano
Luis Ortiz
42.3%
57.7%
+130
-137
+132
-140
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.47
4.29
7.76
o8-113
u8+102
o8-115
u8+100
Boston Red Sox (27-31)
Atlanta Braves (26-29)
Lucas Giolito
Grant Holmes
39.6%
60.4%
+148
-157
+145
-158
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
4.02
5.11
9.13
o9½+100
u9½-113
o9½+100
u9+110
St. Louis Cardinals (32-24)
Texas Rangers (27-30)
Matthew Liberatore
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
53.2%
46.8%
-131
+109
-130
+115
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
4.27
3.94
8.21
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-120
u8½+100
Detroit Tigers (37-20)
Kansas City Royals (30-27)
Casey Mize
Seth Lugo
51.4%
48.6%
-115
+105
-108
+105
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-160
3.89
3.75
7.64
o8-105
u8+102
o8-105
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (29-27)
Houston Astros (30-26)
Ryan Pepiot
Framber Valdez
45.0%
55.0%
+146
-155
+145
-157
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
3.36
3.88
7.24
o7½-103
u7½-113
o7½+105
u7½-115
Washington Nationals (26-30)
Arizona Diamondbacks (27-29)
Jake Irvin
Merrill Kelly
34.2%
65.8%
+190
-207
+190
-207
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
3.29
4.93
8.22
o9+100
u9-108
o9+100
u9-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (21-36)
San Diego Padres (31-23)
Mitch Keller
Nick Pivetta
35.0%
65.0%
+175
-183
+170
-185
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
2.61
4.17
6.78
o7½+102
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
Minnesota Twins (30-25)
Seattle Mariners (30-25)
Zebby Matthews
Bryan Woo
40.8%
59.2%
+126
-135
+138
-140
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-160
-1½+155
3.05
4.02
7.07
o7-113
u7-103
o7-110
u7+105
All Bet Values Active
New York Yankees (35-20)
Los Angeles Dodgers (34-22)
Max Fried
Tony Gonsolin
50.3%
49.7%
-128
+119
-125
+118
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
4.31
4.27
8.58
o9-108
u9-108
o8½-130
u9-105
Games for May 29, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
32.4%
67.6%
+230
-250
+220
-240
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-130
6
2
-1.21110-1.18136-1.12698
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
52.8%
47.2%
-112
+103
-108
+104
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
10
3
-0.65878-0.66479-0.63959
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
43.4%
56.6%
+116
-121
+115
-120
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
4
-0.61278-0.61667-0.56996
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
46.3%
53.7%
+129
-138
+132
-137
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+141
5
2
-0.84492-0.85062-0.77076
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
50.1%
49.9%
+118
-127
+120
-126
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+153
3
6
-0.59878-0.59626-0.69577
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
44.1%
55.9%
+127
-136
+125
-132
+1½-162
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+150
5
3
-0.83644-0.82426-0.81796
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
39.4%
60.6%
+195
-202
+190
-204
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-115
-1½+106
0
1
-0.40999-0.41467-0.50129
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
58.6%
41.4%
-191
+175
-190
+176
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
3
1
-0.44085-0.44020-0.53391
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
68.6%
31.4%
-197
+181
-195
+180
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+120
6
2
-0.42952-0.43197-0.37689
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
48.1%
51.9%
+151
-164
+155
-163
+1½-140
-1½+123
+1½-133
-1½+125
7
6
-0.93971-0.94794-0.73091
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
57.3%
42.7%
+103
-104
-105
+100
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+149
+1½-155
0
7
-0.67615-0.70528-0.85128
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
32.8%
67.2%
+146
-155
+140
-150
+1½-142
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
0
3
-0.51208-0.52736-0.39750
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
49.4%
50.6%
+115
-124
+120
-125
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-179
-1½+170
0
4
-0.60989-0.59784-0.68215
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
63.1%
36.9%
-163
+150
-160
+150
-1½-109
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-105
2
0
-0.49799-0.50078-0.46018
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
42.5%
57.5%
+121
-129
+120
-125
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
9
3
-0.80867-0.79851-0.85473
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
39.8%
60.2%
+105
-111
+106
-112
+1½-175
-1½+163
+1½-175
-1½+173
4
3
-0.73162-0.73635-0.92007
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.61643 
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.61929 
DRatings53-2 (0.600)0-0.64393
-0.02750
-0.02464

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.