Red Sox at Cubs

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
55.7%44.3%
Red Sox WinCubs Win
4.39Projected Runs 3.79
5Final Score 6

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Rich Hill (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
144-44.091.273

Adrian Sampson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-01.690.844

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 6-5 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TOR: Alek Manoah+153
L 5-6 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Michael Wacha • TOR: Ross Stripling+125
L 2-7 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Connor Seabold • TOR: Kevin Gausman+168
W 8-3 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Rich Hill • CLE: Aaron Civale-107
W 4-2 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Josh Winckowski • CLE: Shane Bieber+145
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 7-15 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-125
W 3-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele-132
L 5-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • CHC: Keegan Thompson-112
W 6-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Alec Mills • STL: Jack Flaherty+160
L 3-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Adrian Sampson • STL: Miles Mikolas+195

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • CFEnrique Hernandez10-day IL
  • PMatt BarnesUnknown
  • PNathan EovaldiUnknown
  • 1BBobby DalbecRest

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • -Manuel Rodriguez60-day IL
  • Drew SmylyUnknown
  • PDaniel NorrisUnknown
  • 2BDavid BoteDoubtful
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • PWade MileyUnknown
NNE 10 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)77°76°75°75°
Humidity65%65%64%65%
Precipitation7%8%11%11%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindNNE 10 mphNNE 9 mphNNE 8 mphNE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-125-153-139-138-139-139-138-133.2
Cubs+115+128+129+128+129+129+129+133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-129-138-138-150-147-134-134-133.2
Cubs+118+128+126+126+135+124+135+133.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -134 to -143
Cubs ML moved from +126 to +117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -130 to -136
Cubs ML moved from +128 to +119

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+120-1½+110-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+124
Cubs+1½-140+1½-130+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-130+1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+119-1½+120-1½+116-1½+115-1½+105-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124
Cubs+1½-137+1½-140+1½-134+1½-135+1½-125+1½-135+1½-125+1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½+100o8½+100o8-115o8½+100o8½+100o8-115o8-104
Underu9-110u8½-120u8½-120u8-105u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½+110o8½+100o8-110o8½+100o8½+100o8½+110o8-104
Underu9-110u8½-130u8½-120u8-110u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-130