Brewers at Reds

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
46.6%53.4%
Brewers WinReds Win
4.01Projected Runs 4.37
9Final Score 5
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Joe Ross (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.01.909

Frankie Montas (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-00.771.029

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 8-10 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Aaron Ashby • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-104
W 4-12 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • MIL: Colin Rea-130
L 5-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • MIL: DL Hall-115
W 5-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • MIL: Freddy Peralta-118
L 7-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Chris Paddack • MIL: Joe Ross-105
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 8-10 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+100
L 3-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Sean Manaea • CIN: Andrew Abbott+108
W 6-9 vs New York MetsNYM: Luis Severino • CIN: Nick Martinez-118
L 3-2 vs New York MetsNYM: José Quintana • CIN: Hunter Greene-126
W 4-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Frankie Montas • PHI: Zack Wheeler+162

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • -Taylor Clarke15-day IL
  • PDevin Williams15-day IL
  • CFGarrett Mitchell10-day IL
  • PTrevor MegillUnknown
  • PWade Miley15-day IL
  • PJakob JunisQuestionable

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PIan Gibaut15-day IL
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
  • PBrandon Williamson15-day IL
  • SSMatt McLain60-day IL
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • PAlex Young15-day IL
SSW 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)63°62°61°61°
Humidity82%82%83%85%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSW 10 mphSSW 10 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+142+117+112+115+116+115+117+119.4
Reds-155-127-134-125-126-125-125-119.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+138+115+114+116+122+116+122+119.4
Reds-150-125-124-131-132-126-124-119.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +124 to +118
Reds ML moved from -142 to -148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 50.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +125 to +118
Reds ML moved from -138 to -148

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-150+1½-168+1½-170+1½-172+1½-165+1½-172+1½-165+1½-159
Reds-1½+130-1½+152-1½+145-1½+152-1½+145-1½+152-1½+152-1½+159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-155+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-165+1½-175+1½-165+1½-159
Reds-1½+135-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+145-1½+155-1½+160-1½+159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9½+102o9½+100o9-120o9½-110o9-120o9-120o9-109
Underu9½-120u9½-118u9½-120u9+100u9½-110u9+100u9½-110u9+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9-109
Underu9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-120u9½-120u9½-115u9+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under