Marlins at Red Sox

Updated

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
49.0%51.0%
Marlins WinRed Sox Win
4.48Projected Runs 4.58
2Final Score 0

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
166-53.771.191

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-43.271.273

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 6-2 at Boston Red SoxMIA: Braxton Garrett • BOS: Kaleb Ort-130
W 10-1 at Boston Red SoxMIA: Sandy Alcantara • BOS: Garrett Whitlock+125
W 0-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • MIA: Eury Pérez-167
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Osvaldo Bido • MIA: Bryan Hoeing-164
L 3-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Luis Ortiz • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-205
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 6-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • BOS: Kaleb Ort+125
L 10-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-134
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CHW: Tanner Banks-110
L 4-5 at Chicago White SoxBOS: James Paxton • CHW: Lance Lynn-109
W 3-1 at Chicago White SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • CHW: Lucas Giolito-110

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • PMatt Barnes15-day IL
  • 1BYuli GurrielUnknown
  • PEdward Cabrera10-day IL
  • 1BGarrett CooperUnknown

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PCorey Kluber15-day IL
  • PTanner Houck10-day IL
  • CReese McGuire10-day IL
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • PJoely Rodriguez15-day IL
  • 2BPablo Reyes10-day IL
  • LFMasataka YoshidaUnknown
  • 3BYu Chang60-day IL
SSW 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°79°76°74°
Humidity57%61%67%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSSW 5 mphS 5 mphS 5 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+120+106+105+106+104+106+106+110.6
Red Sox-130-115-125-116-114-116-114-110.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+110+106+104+107+100+100+107+110.6
Red Sox-120-116-114-117-110-116-114-110.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +100 to -101
Red Sox ML moved from -108 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Marlins: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +100 to -105
Red Sox ML moved from -110 to -117

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-180+1½-197+1½-210+1½-205+1½-190+1½-205+1½-190+1½-185
Red Sox-1½+155-1½+173-1½+175-1½+175-1½+165-1½+175-1½+175-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-180+1½-190+1½-192+1½-180+1½-190+1½-200+1½-180+1½-185
Red Sox-1½+160-1½+170-1½+170-1½+152-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8½-108o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-108o8½+100
Underu9+100u8½-108u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-108u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8½-105o8½-110o8½-110o8½+100o8-125o8½+100o8½+100
Underu9+100u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½-120u8+105u8½-110u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-117 to o8½-113
The Under moved from u8½-118 to u8-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120
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