Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
46.6%53.4%
Pirates WinCubs Win
4.70Projected Runs 5.06
4Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Jose Quintana (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-13.861.607

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.00.828

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Bryse Wilson • CHC: Mark Leiter+149
L 2-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+220
L 2-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: JT Brubaker • MIL: Corbin Burnes+227
L 1-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Zach Thompson • MIL: Eric Lauer+160
W 3-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • PIT: Jose Quintana+113
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • CHC: Mark Leiter-156
L 8-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CHC: Marcus Stroman-103
L 6-5 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Matt Wisler • CHC: Justin Steele+116
W 2-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane McClanahan • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+135
W 6-4 at Colorado RockiesCHC: Drew Smyly • COL: Austin Gomber+116

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • PZach ThompsonQuestionable

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAlec Mills10-day IL
  • LFRafael OrtegaRest
  • CFIan HappRest
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL
  • RFJason HeywardRest
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • LFClint Frazier10-day IL
E 12 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)51°51°51°51°
Humidity83%83%83%84%
Precipitation20%12%8%6%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindE 12 mphESE 12 mphESE 13 mphESE 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+140+145+150+151+148+150+151+160.7
Cubs-150-177-163-161-163-163-161-160.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+160+155+157+160+158+160+160.7
Cubs-155-175-171-172-175-168-168-160.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +160 to +151
Cubs ML moved from -167 to -176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +158 to +152
Cubs ML moved from -164 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-140+1½-146+1½-145+1½-146+1½-146+1½-140+1½-133
Cubs-1½+120-1½+120-1½+126-1½+125-1½+126-1½+126-1½+126-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-146+1½-140+1½-139+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-139+1½-133
Cubs-1½+128-1½+120-1½+121-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-114o7½-120o7½-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-120o7½-115o7½-104
Underu7½-106u7½+100u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-120o8-105o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-104
Underu7½-110u7½+100u8-115u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u8-115u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o8-105
No Steam Moves On Under