Nationals at Cubs

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
41.8%58.2%
Nationals WinCubs Win
4.35Projected Runs 5.20
3Final Score 17

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
196-104.891.546

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
153-66.151.395

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 7-5 at Chicago CubsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • CHC: Drew Smyly+129
L 4-8 at St. Louis CardinalsWSN: Josiah Gray • STL: Jack Flaherty+160
L 6-9 at St. Louis CardinalsWSN: Jake Irvin • STL: Steven Matz+178
W 7-5 at St. Louis CardinalsWSN: Trevor Williams • STL: Miles Mikolas+175
W 2-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • WSN: Patrick Corbin+190
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 7-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • CHC: Drew Smyly-133
L 11-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CHC: Justin Steele-144
W 4-10 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • CHC: Marcus Stroman+105
L 8-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+122
W 7-4 at New York YankeesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • NYY: Domingo Germán+135

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • -Carl Edwards Jr.15-day IL
  • PThad Ward15-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CFMike TauchmanRest
  • -Brad Boxberger60-day IL
  • SSDansby Swanson10-day IL
  • -Brandon Hughes60-day IL
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • DHChristopher MorelUnknown
E 6 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°72°71°69°
Humidity58%62%66%68%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 6 mphE 5 mphE 4 mphESE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+144+147+136+142+148+142+148+147.1
Cubs-175-157-162-155-158-155-155-147.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+149+150+143+143+151+140+151+147.1
Cubs-164-160-157-170-165-165-157-147.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +148 to +142
Cubs ML moved from -158 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 40.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +149 to +142
Cubs ML moved from -170 to -178

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-130+1½-148+1½-160+1½-153+1½-145+1½-153+1½-145+1½-141
Cubs-1½+110-1½+132-1½+135-1½+133-1½+125-1½+133-1½+135-1½+141
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-134+1½-140+1½-155+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-141
Cubs-1½+116-1½+120-1½+136-1½+118-1½+120-1½+120-1½+136-1½+141

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-118o9-115o9-118o9-120o9-118o9-115o9-107
Underu9-120u9+102u9-105u9-102u9+100u9-102u9+102u9+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-107
Underu9-110u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+105u9+100u9+105u9+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-117 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-125