Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
37.7%62.3%
Pirates WinCubs Win
3.61Projected Runs 4.90
2Final Score 4

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Bryse Wilson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
91-56.521.651

Keegan Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
127-43.431.254

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: JT Brubaker • CHC: Adrian Sampson+130
L 6-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • PIT: Mitch Keller+154
W 0-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Max Meyer • PIT: Jose Quintana+105
L 8-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • PIT: Zach Thompson+115
W 8-3 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Bryse Wilson • COL: Austin Gomber+155
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CHC: Adrian Sampson-132
W 4-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Drew Smyly • PHI: Bailey Falter+109
W 6-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Marcus Stroman • PHI: Zack Wheeler+162
W 15-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Justin Steele • PHI: Kyle Gibson+120
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • CHC: Adrian Sampson+138

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • RFJack SuwinskiRest
  • 2BDiego CastilloRest
  • 1BMichael ChavisRest
  • PChase De JongUnknown
  • CFBryan Reynolds10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAlec MillsUnknown
  • PKyle HendricksUnknown
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL
ESE 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°80°81°81°
Humidity58%56%55%56%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindESE 8 mphESE 8 mphESE 9 mphESE 9 mph
Lance Barrett
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+156+172+175+164+172+175+175.2
Cubs-155-190-187-185-184-187-184-175.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+150+175+173+170+181+170+181+175.2
Cubs-160-190-191-205-200-185-185-175.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Cubs ML moved from -173 to -180

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 60.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Cubs ML moved from -195 to -205

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-120+1½-121+1½-120+1½-124+1½-121+1½-120+1½-109
Cubs-1½+105-1½+100-1½+101-1½+100-1½+104-1½+101-1½+104-1½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-128+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-109
Cubs-1½+110-1½+100-1½-103-1½+100-1½-105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-115o8½+107o8-110o8½+105o8½+107o8-110o8+100
Underu8½+100u8-105u8½-127u8-110u8½-125u8½-127u8-105u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8-120o8-112o8-110o8-115o8-115o8-110o8+100
Underu9-120u8+100u8-108u8-110u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+113 to o8½+105
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105