NBA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sacramento Kings (16-19)
Golden State Warriors (18-16)
48.5%
51.5%
+135
-150
+145
-145
+3½-112
-3-108
+3½-110
-3-105
111.7
112.4
224.1
o224½-112
u225½-110
o225-110
u225½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jan 4, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Charlotte Hornets (7-26)
Cleveland Cavaliers (30-4)
10.2%
89.8%
+950
-1215
+1000
-1350
+16½-105
-16-108
+16-109
-15½-110
224.5
o231-110
u232-108
o230½-110
u231½-110
4th Q
04:56
92
110
New Orleans Pelicans (6-29)
Washington Wizards (6-26)
58.2%
41.8%
-210
+195
-220
+200
-5½-108
+6-110
-5½-110
+6-109
229.0
o231½-105
u232-110
o231½-110
u232½-110
4th Q
06:02
100
84
Utah Jazz (8-25)
Orlando Magic (21-15)
23.5%
76.5%
+320
-390
+330
-350
+9-105
-9-108
+9-109
-8½-110
215.4
o208½-110
u209-108
o209-110
u209½-110
3rd Q
00:01
71
62
Los Angeles Lakers (20-14)
Houston Rockets (22-12)
36.3%
63.7%
+160
-170
+160
-170
+5-115
-4½-105
+4½-109
-4½-109
220.0
o217-108
u217½-110
o216½-110
u218-110
TIME
HALF
49
67

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Denver Nuggets
Cleveland Cavaliers
33.8%
66.2%
+150
-160
+150
-165
+4-107
-3½-110
+4-109
-3½-110
114
126
-0.50078-0.49617-0.41290
Dallas Mavericks
Washington Wizards
89.0%
11.0%
-900
+680
-900
+725
-13-108
+13+100
-13-110
+14-110
137
101
-0.13318-0.12635-0.11630
Minnesota Timberwolves
Los Angeles Clippers
65.9%
34.1%
-175
+165
-175
+165
-4½-102
+4½-108
-4-109
+4½-110
108
80
-0.46561-0.46561-0.41764
Atlanta Hawks
Milwaukee Bucks
38.4%
61.6%
+165
-170
+160
-170
+4½-105
-4½-105
+4½-105
-4½-109
119
104
-0.98152-0.96964-0.95620
Indiana Pacers
Brooklyn Nets
50.2%
49.8%
-160
+142
-150
+145
-3½-108
+3½-108
-3-110
+3½-105
90
99
-0.91198-0.90421-0.69681
Los Angeles Lakers
Miami Heat
42.3%
57.7%
+150
-160
+145
-150
+3½-108
-3½-108
+3½-109
-3-110
93
134
-0.50078-0.51896-0.55064
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
16.6%
83.4%
+600
-705
+600
-675
+12½-110
-12-108
+12½-110
-12-109
120
130
-0.15111-0.15188-0.18102
Orlando Magic
Philadelphia 76ers
71.5%
28.5%
-240
+220
-240
+220
-6-108
+6-108
-6-109
+6-105
106
102
-0.36652-0.36652-0.33487
Portland Trail Blazers
Los Angeles Clippers
25.7%
74.3%
+310
-360
+305
-360
+8½-108
-8-115
+8½-109
-8½-109
105
127
-0.27128-0.27421-0.29768
Houston Rockets
Sacramento Kings
54.2%
45.8%
+105
-120
+115
-120
+2-108
-1½-105
+2-109
-1½-105
111
120
-0.63885-0.61667-0.78038
Golden State Warriors
Denver Nuggets
41.4%
58.6%
+175
-185
+170
-190
+5-105
-5-105
+5-105
-5-109
115
119
-0.44482-0.44809-0.53394
San Antonio Spurs
Phoenix Suns
36.1%
63.9%
+230
-265
+240
-280
+7-110
-6½-108
+7½-110
-7-109
93
104
-0.34881-0.33588-0.44777
Memphis Grizzlies
Dallas Mavericks
36.5%
63.5%
+170
-175
+165
-170
+4½-105
-4½-105
+4½-105
-4½-109
116
121
-0.45869-0.46959-0.45355
Utah Jazz
Oklahoma City Thunder
11.0%
89.0%
+710
-900
+650
-850
+14-108
-13½-110
+13½-109
-13½-109
106
133
-0.12855-0.13891-0.11647
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
58.9%
41.1%
-150
+140
-145
+145
-3-105
+3½-110
-3-109
+3-109
111
122
-0.89199-0.89610-0.89018
Orlando Magic
New York Knicks
37.3%
62.7%
+175
-195
+170
-190
+5½-115
-5-108
+5-109
-4½-110
106
121
-0.43833-0.44809-0.46652
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks73-3 (0.500)1-0.93383 
Sportsbooks74-3 (0.571)0-0.92962 
DRatings74-3 (0.571)0-0.93730
-0.00346
-0.00768

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the NBA games that we provide above are at “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score of the game.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.