Louisville at Virginia

Updated
Rank23
P/G36.1
PA/G25.6
77.9%22.1%
Louisville WinVirginia Win
32.3Projected Points 22.8
24Final Score 20
Rank68
P/G24.8
PA/G27.5
Rank23
P/G36.1
PA/G25.6
Rank68
P/G24.8
PA/G27.5

Last 5 Games

Louisville Cardinals
Money Line
L 34-27 vs SMU Mustangs-250
L 24-31 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish+200
W 19-31 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets-320
W 14-49 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks-6000
W 0-62 vs Austin Peay Governors
Virginia Cavaliers
Money Line
W 14-24 vs Boston College Eagles-120
W 43-24 at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers-165
L 27-13 vs Maryland Terrapins-130
W 31-30 at Wake Forest Demon Deacons-110
W 13-34 vs Richmond Spiders-1200

Injuries

Louisville Cardinals

Status
  • DLRene KongaQuestionable
  • DLDezmond TellProbable
  • OLMonroe MillsOut
  • CBQuincy RileyProbable
  • WRJadon ThompsonOut for Season
  • DBDevin NealUnknown
  • RBMaurice TurnerQuestionable

Virginia Cavaliers

Status
  • WRTrell HarrisOut
  • WRDakota TwittyOut
  • WRChris TyreeOut
  • DBAntonio ClaryOut
SSW 3 mph
Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)79°78°75°71°
Humidity42%45%54%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSW 3 mphSSW 3 mphS 4 mphS 4 mph

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Louisville-280-275-285-275-280-275-275-242.0
Virginia+230+225+235+230+230+230+235+242.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Louisville-280-270-290-280-280-275-270-242.0
Virginia+240+230+245+230+240+235+245+242.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Louisville-6½-110-7-113-7-120-7½-105-7½-105-7½-105-7-113-7½+104
Virginia+6½-110+7-103+7+100+7½-115+7½-115+7½-115+7+100+7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Louisville-9-110-7-110-7½-105-7½-110-7½-110-7-109-7-109-7½+104
Virginia+9-110+7-110+7½-115+7½-110+7½-110+7-109+7½-109+7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Louisville: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Virginia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Louisville: 20.0%
Virginia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Louisville: 40.0%
Virginia: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Louisville Spread moved from -7-120 to -7-125
No Steam Moves On Virginia Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Louisville: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Virginia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Louisville: 20.0%
Virginia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Louisville: 40.0%
Virginia: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Louisville Spread moved from -7-109 to -7½-109
Virginia Spread moved from +9-110 to +7-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo57-110o54-108o54-110o53½-115o54-110o53½-115o54-108o53½-104
Underu57-110u54-108u54-110u53½-105u54-110u53½-105u54-108u53½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo56½-110o54-110o54-110o54-110o54-110o54-110o54-110o53½-104
Underu56½-110u54-110u54-110u54-110u54-110u54-110u54-110u53½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54-105 to o54-110
The Under moved from u54-110 to u54-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o53½-110 to o54-110
The Under moved from u54-110 to u53-110