AZ Alkmaar at Heerenveen

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

56.7%23.0%20.3%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawHeerenveen Win
1.81Projected Goals 0.98
2Final Score 3

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 3-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-420
T 2-2 at Utrecht+115
T 2-2 vs Ajax+350
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam-140
W 1-2 vs Heerenveen-275
Heerenveen
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Go Ahead Eagles-140
L 0-5 at Ajax+1300
W 2-1 at Vitesse+320
T 3-3 vs Cambuur-135
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-115+150+150+152-+150+152+159.0
Heerenveen+270+195+190+202-+190+202+214.6
Draw+285+205+227+235-+227+235+237.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-115----+140+140+159.0
Heerenveen+285----+210+210+214.6
Draw+290----+220+220+237.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +118 to +112
Heerenveen ML moved from +209 to +200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML
Heerenveen ML moved from +220 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2¼-115o2¼-120o2½+109-o2¼-120o2¼-115o2½+114
Underu2¾-110u2¼-105u2¼+100u2½-124-u2¼+100u2½-124u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+114
Under-----u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%
 
No47.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.14%
Exactly 223.90%
Exactly 415.51%
Exactly 64.03%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.13%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.66%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 016.41%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 316.14%
Exactly 47.29%
Exactly 52.64%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 037.38%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.10%
Exactly 35.94%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.47%
Exactly 222.93%
Exactly 43.19%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 39.88%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 043.32%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.16%
Exactly 34.23%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 063.41%
Exactly 128.89%
Exactly 26.58%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals32.30%
Wins by 3+ goals14.86%
Wins by 4+ goals5.61%
Wins by 5+ goals1.76%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals7.03%
Wins by 3+ goals1.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal24.34%
Wins by 2 goals17.44%
Wins by 3 goals9.24%
Wins by 4 goals3.85%
Wins by 5 goals1.31%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal13.25%
Wins by 2 goals5.17%
Wins by 3 goals1.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.86%6.14%
1.576.74%23.26%
2.552.84%47.16%
3.530.61%69.39%
4.515.09%84.91%
5.56.43%93.57%
6.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.59%16.41%
1.553.92%46.08%
2.527.13%72.87%
3.510.98%89.02%
4.53.69%96.31%
5.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.62%37.38%
1.525.84%74.16%
2.57.74%92.26%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.53%27.47%
1.537.04%62.96%
2.514.11%85.89%
3.54.23%95.77%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Score01234
0
6.14%
6.04%
2.97%
0.97%
0.24%
1
11.09%
10.91%
5.37%
1.76%
0.43%
2
10.02%
9.86%
4.85%
1.59%
0.39%
3
6.03%
5.94%
2.92%
0.96%
0.24%
4
2.73%
2.68%
1.32%
0.43%
0.11%
5
0.99%
0.97%
0.48%
0.16%
0.04%
AZ Alkmaar
1-011.09%
2-010.02%
2-19.86%
3-06.03%
3-15.94%
3-22.92%
4-02.73%
4-12.68%
4-21.32%
4-30.43%
5-00.99%
5-10.97%
5-20.48%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-06.14%
1-110.91%
2-24.85%
3-30.96%
4-40.11%
Heerenveen
0-16.04%
0-22.97%
1-25.37%
0-30.97%
1-31.76%
2-31.59%
0-40.24%
1-40.43%
2-40.39%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
27.47%
12.51%
2.85%
0.43%
1
22.98%
10.47%
2.38%
0.36%
2
9.61%
4.38%
1.00%
0.15%
3
2.68%
1.22%
0.28%
0.04%
4
0.56%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-022.98%
2-09.61%
2-14.38%
3-02.68%
3-11.22%
3-20.28%
4-00.56%
4-10.26%
Draw
0-027.47%
1-110.47%
2-21.00%
Heerenveen
0-112.51%
0-22.85%
1-22.38%
0-30.43%
1-30.36%
2-30.15%
Utrecht at Willem II
Vitesse at Utrecht