Ajax at Sparta R'dam

Updated

Ajax

76.5%14.8%8.6%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.56Projected Goals 0.74
1Final Score 0

Sparta Rotterdam

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Groningen-650
W 3-2 at Fortuna Sittard-415
T 2-2 at Vitesse-190
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-650
T 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
L 3-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+310
T 0-0 at Heerenveen+310
W 3-1 at Heracles Almelo+245
W 0-2 vs Zwolle+130
W 2-1 at Groningen+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-344-385-400-410-416-410-385-331.7
Sparta R'dam+909+1060+900+1050+1000+1050+1060+1213.8
Draw+503+525+500+525+540+525+540+542.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-395-----400-400-331.7
Sparta R'dam+1000----+1000+1000+1213.8
Draw+510----+525+525+542.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -373 to -385
Sparta R'dam ML moved from +900 to +850

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
No Steam Moves On Sparta R'dam ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-139o3½+106o3¼-120o3¼-120-o3¼-120o3¼-120o3½+117
Underu3+117u3½-124u3¼+100u3¼+100-u3¼+100u3½-124u3½-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+117
Under-----u3½-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.70%
Exactly 220.10%
Exactly 418.22%
Exactly 66.60%
Exactly 81.28%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.19%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 512.01%
Exactly 73.11%
Exactly 90.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.77%
Exactly 119.84%
Exactly 225.36%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 413.80%
Exactly 57.05%
Exactly 63.00%
Exactly 71.10%
Exactly 80.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 047.60%
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 213.11%
Exactly 33.25%
Exactly 40.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.72%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 44.92%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.17%
Exactly 312.89%
Exactly 51.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 030.63%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 221.44%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 070.91%
Exactly 124.37%
Exactly 24.19%
Exactly 30.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals54.69%
Wins by 3+ goals32.93%
Wins by 4+ goals16.74%
Wins by 5+ goals7.25%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals2.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.73%
Wins by 2 goals21.76%
Wins by 3 goals16.19%
Wins by 4 goals9.49%
Wins by 5 goals4.57%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal6.30%
Wins by 2 goals1.82%
Wins by 3 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.30%3.70%
1.584.11%15.89%
2.564.01%35.99%
3.541.92%58.08%
4.523.70%76.30%
5.511.69%88.31%
6.55.08%94.92%
7.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.23%7.77%
1.572.39%27.61%
2.547.03%52.97%
3.525.43%74.57%
4.511.64%88.36%
5.54.58%95.42%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.40%47.60%
1.517.06%82.94%
2.53.95%96.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.28%21.72%
1.545.11%54.89%
2.519.79%80.21%
3.56.91%93.09%
4.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Score0123
0
3.70%
2.74%
1.02%
0.25%
1
9.45%
7.01%
2.60%
0.64%
2
12.07%
8.96%
3.33%
0.82%
3
10.28%
7.63%
2.83%
0.70%
4
6.57%
4.88%
1.81%
0.45%
5
3.36%
2.49%
0.92%
0.23%
Ajax
1-09.45%
2-012.07%
2-18.96%
3-010.28%
3-17.63%
3-22.83%
4-06.57%
4-14.88%
4-21.81%
4-30.45%
5-03.36%
5-12.49%
5-20.92%
5-30.23%
Draw
0-03.70%
1-17.01%
2-23.33%
3-30.70%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-12.74%
0-21.02%
1-22.60%
0-30.25%
1-30.64%
2-30.82%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Score0123
0
21.72%
7.47%
1.28%
0.15%
1
25.70%
8.83%
1.52%
0.17%
2
15.20%
5.23%
0.90%
0.10%
3
6.00%
2.06%
0.35%
0.04%
4
1.77%
0.61%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.42%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.70%
2-015.20%
2-15.23%
3-06.00%
3-12.06%
3-20.35%
4-01.77%
4-10.61%
4-20.10%
5-00.42%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-021.72%
1-18.83%
2-20.90%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-17.47%
0-21.28%
1-21.52%
0-30.15%
1-30.17%
2-30.10%