Groningen at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Groningen

19.7%23.8%56.5%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.72
0Final Score 6

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard+310
L 1-0 vs Utrecht+220
L 1-3 at Ajax+900
L 1-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles+140
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+170
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Almere City+140
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen+115
L 0-1 at NAC Breda+155
T 1-1 vs Feyenoord+480
L 2-1 vs Heracles Almelo-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+302+281+300+265+277+265+300+287.4
NEC Nijmegen+100+110-105+101+103+101+110+113.3
Draw+243+232+215+245+231+245+245+266.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+325----+335+335+287.4
NEC Nijmegen-115-----115-115+113.3
Draw+255----+250+250+266.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +277 to +271
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +108 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 80.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Groningen ML
No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111o2½+102o2¼-125o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2¼-125o2½+109
Underu2½-106u2½-119u2¼+105u2½-120u2½-122u2½-120u2½-119u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-118 to o2½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.27%
Exactly 224.98%
Exactly 414.30%
Exactly 63.27%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.06%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 57.50%
Exactly 71.23%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 040.47%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.56%
Exactly 34.99%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 017.97%
Exactly 130.84%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 315.15%
Exactly 46.50%
Exactly 52.23%
Exactly 60.64%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.71%
Exactly 221.88%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 38.85%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 065.78%
Exactly 127.55%
Exactly 25.77%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 045.17%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.26%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals6.45%
Wins by 3+ goals1.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals31.47%
Wins by 3+ goals14.02%
Wins by 4+ goals5.10%
Wins by 5+ goals1.54%
Wins by 6+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal13.19%
Wins by 2 goals4.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal25.03%
Wins by 2 goals17.45%
Wins by 3 goals8.91%
Wins by 4 goals3.56%
Wins by 5 goals1.16%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.73%7.27%
1.573.66%26.34%
2.548.68%51.32%
3.526.86%73.14%
4.512.56%87.44%
5.55.06%94.94%
6.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.53%40.47%
1.522.92%77.08%
2.56.36%93.64%
3.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.03%17.97%
1.551.19%48.81%
2.524.71%75.29%
3.59.57%90.43%
4.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.29%29.71%
1.534.23%65.77%
2.512.35%87.65%
3.53.50%96.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
7.27%
12.48%
10.71%
6.13%
2.63%
0.90%
1
6.58%
11.29%
9.69%
5.55%
2.38%
0.82%
2
2.98%
5.11%
4.38%
2.51%
1.08%
0.37%
3
0.90%
1.54%
1.32%
0.76%
0.32%
0.11%
4
0.20%
0.35%
0.30%
0.17%
0.07%
0.03%
Groningen
1-06.58%
2-02.98%
2-15.11%
3-00.90%
3-11.54%
3-21.32%
4-00.20%
4-10.35%
4-20.30%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.27%
1-111.29%
2-24.38%
3-30.76%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.48%
0-210.71%
1-29.69%
0-36.13%
1-35.55%
2-32.51%
0-42.63%
1-42.38%
2-41.08%
3-40.32%
0-50.90%
1-50.82%
2-50.37%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
29.71%
23.62%
9.38%
2.49%
0.49%
1
12.44%
9.89%
3.93%
1.04%
0.21%
2
2.61%
2.07%
0.82%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.36%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Groningen
1-012.44%
2-02.61%
2-12.07%
3-00.36%
3-10.29%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.71%
1-19.89%
2-20.82%
NEC Nijmegen
0-123.62%
0-29.38%
1-23.93%
0-32.49%
1-31.04%
2-30.22%
0-40.49%
1-40.21%
Utrecht at Sparta R'dam
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