Twente at Ajax

Updated

Twente

7.0%4.2%88.8%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.30Projected Goals 3.79
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Vitesse+165
W 1-0 at Willem II+130
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen-115
T 1-1 at Utrecht+320
W 3-1 at Zwolle+115
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Heracles Almelo-1000
W 2-1 at PSV Eindhoven-115
W 3-0 at Utrecht-220
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 2-0 at Feyenoord-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+1000+1500+1500+1464+1385+1500+1500+1514.9
Ajax-400-675-675-563-604-675-563-451.6
Draw+500+675+725+728+643+725+728+737.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+1725----+1450+1450+1514.9
Ajax-640-----600-600-451.6
Draw+645----+675+675+737.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +1461 to +1454
Ajax ML moved from -553 to -604

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +1800 to +1350
Ajax ML moved from -550 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3¼-118o3¼-125o3½+102-o3¼-125o3¼-118o3½+114
Underu3-102u3¼-102u3¼+105u3½-122-u3¼+105u3½-122u3½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+114
Under-----u3½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes25.3%
 
No74.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.68%
Exactly 214.03%
Exactly 419.52%
Exactly 610.86%
Exactly 83.24%
Exactly 100.60%
 
Exactly 16.87%
Exactly 319.11%
Exactly 515.95%
Exactly 76.34%
Exactly 91.47%
Exactly 110.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 074.12%
Exactly 122.20%
Exactly 23.32%
Exactly 30.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 02.27%
Exactly 18.59%
Exactly 216.26%
Exactly 320.52%
Exactly 419.42%
Exactly 514.71%
Exactly 69.28%
Exactly 75.02%
Exactly 82.37%
Exactly 91.00%
Exactly 100.38%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.08%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 48.05%
Exactly 60.96%
 
Exactly 128.53%
Exactly 317.01%
Exactly 53.04%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 087.05%
Exactly 112.07%
Exactly 20.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 017.33%
Exactly 130.37%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 315.55%
Exactly 46.82%
Exactly 52.39%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals84.04%
Wins by 3+ goals66.74%
Wins by 4+ goals46.70%
Wins by 5+ goals28.72%
Wins by 6+ goals15.58%
Wins by 7+ goals7.51%
Wins by 8+ goals3.23%
Wins by 9+ goals1.23%
Wins by 10+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Ajax
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Twente
Wins by 1 goal0.84%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal10.72%
Wins by 2 goals17.30%
Wins by 3 goals20.04%
Wins by 4 goals17.98%
Wins by 5 goals13.13%
Wins by 6 goals8.07%
Wins by 7 goals4.28%
Wins by 8 goals2.00%
Wins by 9 goals0.83%
Wins by 10 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.32%1.68%
1.591.45%8.55%
2.577.41%22.59%
3.558.30%41.70%
4.538.78%61.22%
5.522.84%77.16%
6.511.98%88.02%
7.55.64%94.36%
8.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.525.88%74.12%
1.53.68%96.32%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.73%2.27%
1.589.14%10.86%
2.572.88%27.12%
3.552.36%47.64%
4.532.94%67.06%
5.518.24%81.76%
6.58.96%91.04%
7.53.94%96.06%
8.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.92%15.08%
1.556.38%43.62%
2.529.40%70.60%
3.512.39%87.61%
4.54.34%95.66%
5.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Ajax
Score01234
0
1.68%
6.37%
12.05%
15.21%
14.39%
1
0.50%
1.91%
3.61%
4.55%
4.31%
Twente
1-00.50%
Draw
0-01.68%
1-11.91%
2-20.54%
Ajax
0-16.37%
0-212.05%
1-23.61%
0-315.21%
1-34.55%
2-30.68%
0-414.39%
1-44.31%
2-40.65%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Ajax
Score01234567
0
15.08%
26.44%
23.17%
13.54%
5.93%
2.08%
0.61%
0.15%
1
2.09%
3.67%
3.21%
1.88%
0.82%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
2
0.15%
0.25%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Twente
1-02.09%
2-00.15%
2-10.25%
Draw
0-015.08%
1-13.67%
2-20.22%
Ajax
0-126.44%
0-223.17%
1-23.21%
0-313.54%
1-31.88%
2-30.13%
0-45.93%
1-40.82%
0-52.08%
1-50.29%
0-60.61%
0-70.15%