AZ Alkmaar at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

20.1%21.2%58.7%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
1.09Projected Goals 2.02
1Final Score 0

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 1-3 at RKC Waalwijk-110
W 1-2 vs Volendam-475
L 1-2 at Excelsior-245
L 3-1 vs Feyenoord+140
W 2-1 at Utrecht+130
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 2-1 at Ajax+260
W 0-3 vs NEC Nijmegen-455
L 2-4 at Groningen-340
W 1-6 vs Utrecht-310
W 1-0 at Heerenveen-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+311+523+475+485+559+485+559+579.3
PSV Eindhoven-126-197-205-195-196-195-195-179.6
Draw+319+364+350+360+361+360+364+375.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+440----+500+500+579.3
PSV Eindhoven-175-----200-200-179.6
Draw+330----+360+360+375.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +548 to +542
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -190 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +560 to +500
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -200 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-104o3-133o3-122o3-116o3-122o3-116o3-116o3-114
Underu3½-112u3+113u3+102u3-104u3+107u3-104u3+113u3+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-114
Under-----u3+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.7%
 
No42.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.44%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 417.40%
Exactly 65.62%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.84%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.84%
Exactly 72.50%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 033.40%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.08%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 013.31%
Exactly 126.84%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.20%
Exactly 49.18%
Exactly 53.70%
Exactly 61.24%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.66%
Exactly 224.58%
Exactly 44.26%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.10%
Exactly 311.81%
Exactly 51.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 060.19%
Exactly 130.56%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 039.30%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.14%
Exactly 35.33%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals7.35%
Wins by 3+ goals2.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals35.26%
Wins by 3+ goals17.41%
Wins by 4+ goals7.13%
Wins by 5+ goals2.43%
Wins by 6+ goals0.67%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal12.66%
Wins by 2 goals5.27%
Wins by 3 goals1.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal23.29%
Wins by 2 goals17.85%
Wins by 3 goals10.28%
Wins by 4 goals4.70%
Wins by 5 goals1.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.56%4.44%
1.581.72%18.28%
2.560.18%39.82%
3.537.82%62.18%
4.520.42%79.58%
5.59.58%90.42%
6.53.96%96.04%
7.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.60%33.40%
1.529.97%70.03%
2.59.89%90.11%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.69%13.31%
1.559.86%40.14%
2.532.79%67.21%
3.514.60%85.40%
4.55.42%94.58%
5.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.34%23.66%
1.542.24%57.76%
2.517.66%82.34%
3.55.85%94.15%
4.51.60%98.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
4.44%
8.96%
9.04%
6.08%
3.07%
1.24%
1
4.87%
9.83%
9.91%
6.66%
3.36%
1.36%
2
2.67%
5.39%
5.43%
3.65%
1.84%
0.74%
3
0.98%
1.97%
1.99%
1.34%
0.67%
0.27%
4
0.27%
0.54%
0.54%
0.37%
0.18%
0.07%
AZ Alkmaar
1-04.87%
2-02.67%
2-15.39%
3-00.98%
3-11.97%
3-21.99%
4-00.27%
4-10.54%
4-20.54%
4-30.37%
Draw
0-04.44%
1-19.83%
2-25.43%
3-31.34%
4-40.18%
PSV Eindhoven
0-18.96%
0-29.04%
1-29.91%
0-36.08%
1-36.66%
2-33.65%
0-43.07%
1-43.36%
2-41.84%
3-40.67%
0-51.24%
1-51.36%
2-50.74%
3-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
23.66%
22.09%
10.32%
3.21%
0.75%
0.14%
1
12.01%
11.22%
5.24%
1.63%
0.38%
0.07%
2
3.05%
2.85%
1.33%
0.41%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.52%
0.48%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-012.01%
2-03.05%
2-12.85%
3-00.52%
3-10.48%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-023.66%
1-111.22%
2-21.33%
PSV Eindhoven
0-122.09%
0-210.32%
1-25.24%
0-33.21%
1-31.63%
2-30.41%
0-40.75%
1-40.38%
0-50.14%