PSV Eindhoven at Ajax

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

10.5%15.4%74.1%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.88Projected Goals 2.59
2Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 0-3 vs NEC Nijmegen-455
L 2-4 at Groningen-340
W 1-6 vs Utrecht-310
W 1-0 at Heerenveen-170
L 0-3 at Cambuur-430
Ajax
Money Line
W 4-1 at RKC Waalwijk-350
W 1-7 vs Excelsior-1600
W 4-2 at Volendam-675
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-1200
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven+471+244+225+245+244+245+245+254.1
Ajax-184+103+105-103+106-103+106+112.0
Draw+360+290+270+295+295+295+295+306.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven+310----+260+260+254.1
Ajax-130-----110-110+112.0
Draw+310----+300+300+306.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +256 to +249
Ajax ML moved from -149 to -157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +270 to +260
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+111o3½+101o3½+100o3½+100o3½+108o3½+100o3½+108o3½+115
Underu3½-131u3½-119u3½-120u3½-120u3½-123u3½-120u3½-119u3½-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+115
Under-----u3½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-112 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.12%
Exactly 218.76%
Exactly 418.79%
Exactly 67.52%
Exactly 81.61%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.83%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 513.02%
Exactly 73.73%
Exactly 90.62%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 041.51%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.04%
Exactly 34.70%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.52%
Exactly 119.47%
Exactly 225.18%
Exactly 321.71%
Exactly 414.04%
Exactly 57.27%
Exactly 63.13%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.09%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 45.55%
Exactly 60.48%
 
Exactly 132.24%
Exactly 313.84%
Exactly 51.78%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 066.56%
Exactly 127.10%
Exactly 25.51%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 030.19%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 221.65%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals3.15%
Wins by 3+ goals0.73%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals52.54%
Wins by 3+ goals31.53%
Wins by 4+ goals16.07%
Wins by 5+ goals7.03%
Wins by 6+ goals2.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.87%
Wins by 8+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal7.30%
Wins by 2 goals2.42%
Wins by 3 goals0.60%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.49%
Wins by 2 goals21.01%
Wins by 3 goals15.46%
Wins by 4 goals9.04%
Wins by 5 goals4.36%
Wins by 6 goals1.79%
Wins by 7 goals0.63%
Wins by 8 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.88%3.12%
1.586.05%13.95%
2.567.29%32.71%
3.545.61%54.39%
4.526.82%73.18%
5.513.80%86.20%
6.56.27%93.73%
7.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.49%41.51%
1.521.99%78.01%
2.55.95%94.05%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.48%7.52%
1.573.01%26.99%
2.547.83%52.17%
3.526.12%73.88%
4.512.08%87.92%
5.54.81%95.19%
6.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.91%20.09%
1.547.66%52.34%
2.521.79%78.21%
3.57.95%92.05%
4.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.12%
8.08%
10.45%
9.01%
5.83%
3.02%
1
2.75%
7.10%
9.19%
7.92%
5.13%
2.65%
2
1.21%
3.12%
4.04%
3.48%
2.25%
1.17%
3
0.35%
0.92%
1.18%
1.02%
0.66%
0.34%
PSV Eindhoven
1-02.75%
2-01.21%
2-13.12%
3-00.35%
3-10.92%
3-21.18%
Draw
0-03.12%
1-17.10%
2-24.04%
3-31.02%
4-40.15%
Ajax
0-18.08%
0-210.45%
1-29.19%
0-39.01%
1-37.92%
2-33.48%
0-45.83%
1-45.13%
2-42.25%
3-40.66%
0-53.02%
1-52.65%
2-51.17%
3-50.34%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Score012345
0
20.09%
24.07%
14.41%
5.75%
1.72%
0.41%
1
8.18%
9.80%
5.87%
2.34%
0.70%
0.17%
2
1.66%
1.99%
1.19%
0.48%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.23%
0.27%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-08.18%
2-01.66%
2-11.99%
3-00.23%
3-10.27%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-020.09%
1-19.80%
2-21.19%
Ajax
0-124.07%
0-214.41%
1-25.87%
0-35.75%
1-32.34%
2-30.48%
0-41.72%
1-40.70%
2-40.14%
0-50.41%
1-50.17%