Ajax at Volendam

Updated

Ajax

86.1%9.8%4.1%
Ajax WinDrawWin
3.02Projected Goals 0.55
4Final Score 2

Volendam

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-1200
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-500
W 0-4 vs Cambuur-1050
W 2-0 at Utrecht-230
Volendam
Money Line
L 0-2 at Fortuna Sittard+250
T 1-1 at Vitesse+590
L 3-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+140
L 0-4 at Sparta Rotterdam+380
L 1-7 at PSV Eindhoven+1800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-403-679-800-645-627-680-627-560.0
Volendam+1027+1451+1400+1450+1250+1450+1451+1718.5
Draw+565+862+800+750+730+800+862+936.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-530-----675-675-560.0
Volendam+1200----+1300+1300+1718.5
Draw+650----+800+800+936.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Volendam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Volendam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Volendam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -725 to -800
Volendam ML moved from +1310 to +1268

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Volendam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Volendam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Volendam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -700 to -900
Volendam ML moved from +1600 to +1300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-111o4½+114o4¼-108o4¼-110-o4¼-110o4¼-108o4-121
Underu3½-105u4½-134u4¼-112u4¼-110-u4¼-110u4½-134u4+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4-121
Under-----u4+121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o4-107 to o4¼-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.2%
 
No59.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.82%
Exactly 217.95%
Exactly 419.05%
Exactly 68.09%
Exactly 81.84%
Exactly 100.26%
 
Exactly 110.06%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 513.60%
Exactly 74.13%
Exactly 90.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.88%
Exactly 114.74%
Exactly 222.25%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.92%
Exactly 510.22%
Exactly 65.14%
Exactly 72.22%
Exactly 80.84%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Volendam
Exactly 057.76%
Exactly 131.70%
Exactly 28.70%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.16%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 45.95%
Exactly 60.54%
 
Exactly 131.66%
Exactly 314.41%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 024.70%
Exactly 134.54%
Exactly 224.15%
Exactly 311.26%
Exactly 43.94%
Exactly 51.10%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Volendam
Exactly 077.56%
Exactly 119.71%
Exactly 22.50%
Exactly 30.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals68.17%
Wins by 3+ goals46.57%
Wins by 4+ goals27.29%
Wins by 5+ goals13.80%
Volendam
Wins by 2+ goals0.83%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Volendam
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal17.81%
Wins by 2 goals21.60%
Wins by 3 goals19.28%
Wins by 4 goals13.49%
Wins by 5 goals7.74%
Volendam
Wins by 1 goal3.23%
Wins by 2 goals0.71%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.18%2.82%
1.587.12%12.88%
2.569.17%30.83%
3.547.82%52.18%
4.528.77%71.23%
5.515.17%84.83%
6.57.07%92.93%
7.52.95%97.05%
8.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.12%4.88%
1.580.39%19.61%
2.558.13%41.87%
3.535.73%64.27%
4.518.81%81.19%
5.58.60%91.40%
6.53.45%96.55%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Volendam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.24%57.76%
1.510.54%89.46%
2.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.84%19.16%
1.549.19%50.81%
2.523.03%76.97%
3.58.62%91.38%
4.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Volendam
Score012
0
2.82%
1.55%
0.42%
1
8.51%
4.67%
1.28%
2
12.85%
7.05%
1.94%
3
12.94%
7.10%
1.95%
4
9.77%
5.36%
1.47%
5
5.90%
3.24%
0.89%
Ajax
1-08.51%
2-012.85%
2-17.05%
3-012.94%
3-17.10%
3-21.95%
4-09.77%
4-15.36%
4-21.47%
4-30.27%
5-05.90%
5-13.24%
5-20.89%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-02.82%
1-14.67%
2-21.94%
3-30.36%
Volendam
0-11.55%
0-20.42%
1-21.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Volendam
Score012
0
19.16%
4.87%
0.62%
1
26.79%
6.81%
0.87%
2
18.73%
4.76%
0.60%
3
8.73%
2.22%
0.28%
4
3.05%
0.78%
0.10%
5
0.85%
0.22%
0.03%
6
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Ajax
1-026.79%
2-018.73%
2-14.76%
3-08.73%
3-12.22%
3-20.28%
4-03.05%
4-10.78%
5-00.85%
5-10.22%
6-00.20%
Draw
0-019.16%
1-16.81%
2-20.60%
Volendam
0-14.87%
0-20.62%
1-20.87%