Ajax at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Ajax

50.6%24.5%24.9%
Ajax WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
1.65Projected Goals 1.08
1Final Score 2

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-500
W 0-4 vs Cambuur-1050
W 2-0 at Utrecht-230
W 1-0 at Sparta Rotterdam-400
W 1-6 vs Groningen-650
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Twente+100
W 3-0 at Emmen-115
T 1-1 vs NEC Nijmegen-175
W 1-0 at Cambuur-165
W 3-2 at Sparta Rotterdam-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-145-139-145-153--153-139-121.7
AZ Alkmaar+340+373+370+400-+400+400+382.9
Draw+310+306+285+310-+310+310+309.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-150-----150-150-121.7
AZ Alkmaar+355----+375+375+382.9
Draw+330----+315+315+309.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -140 to -150
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +384 to +373

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115o3+114o2¾-125o2¾-125-o2¾-125o3+114o3+130
Underu3¼-105u3-134u2¾+105u2¾+105-u2¾+105u2¾+105u3-130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+130
Under-----u3-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.54%
Exactly 224.32%
Exactly 415.08%
Exactly 63.74%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.83%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 58.23%
Exactly 71.46%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 019.24%
Exactly 131.71%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 314.36%
Exactly 45.92%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 033.98%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.80%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.28%
Exactly 222.56%
Exactly 43.00%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 39.50%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 046.62%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 213.58%
Exactly 33.45%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 060.66%
Exactly 130.32%
Exactly 27.58%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals26.94%
Wins by 3+ goals11.47%
Wins by 4+ goals4.00%
Wins by 5+ goals1.16%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals9.30%
Wins by 3+ goals2.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.66%
Wins by 2 goals15.47%
Wins by 3 goals7.48%
Wins by 4 goals2.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal15.49%
Wins by 2 goals6.63%
Wins by 3 goals2.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.46%6.54%
1.575.64%24.36%
2.551.32%48.68%
3.529.21%70.79%
4.514.13%85.87%
5.55.90%94.10%
6.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.76%19.24%
1.549.06%50.94%
2.522.92%77.08%
3.58.56%91.44%
4.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.02%33.98%
1.529.35%70.65%
2.59.55%90.45%
3.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.72%28.28%
1.536.00%64.00%
2.513.45%86.55%
3.53.95%96.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Score01234
0
6.54%
7.06%
3.81%
1.37%
0.37%
1
10.77%
11.63%
6.28%
2.26%
0.61%
2
8.88%
9.59%
5.17%
1.86%
0.50%
3
4.88%
5.27%
2.84%
1.02%
0.28%
4
2.01%
2.17%
1.17%
0.42%
0.11%
5
0.66%
0.72%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
Ajax
1-010.77%
2-08.88%
2-19.59%
3-04.88%
3-15.27%
3-22.84%
4-02.01%
4-12.17%
4-21.17%
4-30.42%
5-00.66%
5-10.72%
5-20.39%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.54%
1-111.63%
2-25.17%
3-31.02%
4-40.11%
AZ Alkmaar
0-17.06%
0-23.81%
1-26.28%
0-31.37%
1-32.26%
2-31.86%
0-40.37%
1-40.61%
2-40.50%
3-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123
0
28.28%
14.13%
3.53%
0.59%
1
21.58%
10.79%
2.70%
0.45%
2
8.24%
4.12%
1.03%
0.17%
3
2.10%
1.05%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.40%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Ajax
1-021.58%
2-08.24%
2-14.12%
3-02.10%
3-11.05%
3-20.26%
4-00.40%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.28%
1-110.79%
2-21.03%
AZ Alkmaar
0-114.13%
0-23.53%
1-22.70%
0-30.59%
1-30.45%
2-30.17%