Ajax at Utrecht

Updated

Ajax

67.0%18.9%14.1%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.21Projected Goals 0.90
2Final Score 0

Utrecht

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-0 at Sparta Rotterdam-400
W 1-6 vs Groningen-650
W 3-2 at Fortuna Sittard-415
T 2-2 at Vitesse-190
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-650
Utrecht
Money Line
L 2-3 at Emmen+150
T 0-0 vs Cambuur-205
T 2-2 at RKC Waalwijk-110
L 0-3 at Vitesse+245
W 1-3 vs Vitesse+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-254-220-230-240-227-240-220-197.2
Utrecht+700+541+475+550+501+550+550+560.2
Draw+407+410+390+430+401+430+430+440.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-220-----230-230-197.2
Utrecht+490----+520+520+560.2
Draw+410----+415+415+440.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -233 to -242
Utrecht ML moved from +500 to +475

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -220 to -230
Utrecht ML moved from +490 to +475

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-127o3½-111o3½-112o3½-112-o3½-112o3½-111o3½+103
Underu3+107u3½-105u3½-108u3½-108-u3½-108u3½-105u3½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+103
Under-----u3½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-120 to o3½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.45%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 417.40%
Exactly 65.62%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.84%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.83%
Exactly 72.50%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 010.98%
Exactly 124.26%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 319.73%
Exactly 410.89%
Exactly 54.81%
Exactly 61.77%
Exactly 70.56%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 040.50%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.55%
Exactly 34.99%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.66%
Exactly 224.58%
Exactly 44.25%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.10%
Exactly 311.81%
Exactly 51.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 035.96%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.81%
Exactly 36.41%
Exactly 41.64%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 065.80%
Exactly 127.54%
Exactly 25.76%
Exactly 30.80%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals43.49%
Wins by 3+ goals23.36%
Wins by 4+ goals10.49%
Wins by 5+ goals3.99%
Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals4.44%
Wins by 3+ goals1.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Utrecht
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals20.14%
Wins by 3 goals12.87%
Wins by 4 goals6.50%
Wins by 5 goals2.70%
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal9.61%
Wins by 2 goals3.37%
Wins by 3 goals0.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.55%4.45%
1.581.71%18.29%
2.560.16%39.84%
3.537.80%62.20%
4.520.40%79.60%
5.59.57%90.43%
6.53.95%96.05%
7.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.02%10.98%
1.564.76%35.24%
2.537.97%62.03%
3.518.24%81.76%
4.57.35%92.65%
5.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.50%40.50%
1.522.90%77.10%
2.56.35%93.65%
3.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.34%23.66%
1.542.23%57.77%
2.517.66%82.34%
3.55.85%94.15%
4.51.59%98.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Utrecht
Score01234
0
4.45%
4.02%
1.82%
0.55%
0.12%
1
9.82%
8.88%
4.01%
1.21%
0.27%
2
10.85%
9.81%
4.43%
1.34%
0.30%
3
7.99%
7.22%
3.26%
0.98%
0.22%
4
4.41%
3.99%
1.80%
0.54%
0.12%
5
1.95%
1.76%
0.80%
0.24%
0.05%
Ajax
1-09.82%
2-010.85%
2-19.81%
3-07.99%
3-17.22%
3-23.26%
4-04.41%
4-13.99%
4-21.80%
4-30.54%
5-01.95%
5-11.76%
5-20.80%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-04.45%
1-18.88%
2-24.43%
3-30.98%
4-40.12%
Utrecht
0-14.02%
0-21.82%
1-24.01%
0-30.55%
1-31.21%
2-31.34%
0-40.12%
1-40.27%
2-40.30%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Utrecht
Score0123
0
23.66%
9.90%
2.07%
0.29%
1
24.20%
10.13%
2.12%
0.30%
2
12.38%
5.18%
1.08%
0.15%
3
4.22%
1.77%
0.37%
0.05%
4
1.08%
0.45%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-024.20%
2-012.38%
2-15.18%
3-04.22%
3-11.77%
3-20.37%
4-01.08%
4-10.45%
5-00.22%
Draw
0-023.66%
1-110.13%
2-21.08%
Utrecht
0-19.90%
0-22.07%
1-22.12%
0-30.29%
1-30.30%
2-30.15%