NEC Nijmegen at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

7.1%13.2%79.6%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.72
1Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Groningen+105
W 4-1 at Volendam+145
L 1-0 vs Twente+235
L 1-0 vs Fortuna Sittard-115
L 2-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1300
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 1-0 at Cambuur-165
W 3-2 at Sparta Rotterdam-110
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles-250
W 1-6 vs Vitesse-160
L 1-2 at Vitesse+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+432+464+420+470-+470+470+472.5
AZ Alkmaar-165-163-165-173--173-163-145.0
Draw+334+311+300+315-+315+315+328.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+575----+475+475+472.5
AZ Alkmaar-210-----175-175-145.0
Draw+345----+315+315+328.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +510 to +470
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -177 to -183

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +500 to +475
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o2½-140o2¾-110o2¾-105-o2¾-105o2¾-105o2½-123
Underu3-128u2½+118u2¾-110u2¾-115-u2¾-115u2¾-110u2½+123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-123
Under-----u2½+123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.27%
Exactly 219.13%
Exactly 418.65%
Exactly 67.27%
Exactly 81.52%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.18%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 512.76%
Exactly 73.55%
Exactly 90.58%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 049.47%
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 212.25%
Exactly 32.87%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 06.61%
Exactly 117.95%
Exactly 224.39%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 415.00%
Exactly 58.15%
Exactly 63.69%
Exactly 71.43%
Exactly 80.49%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.52%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 45.38%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.50%
Exactly 313.59%
Exactly 51.70%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 072.19%
Exactly 123.52%
Exactly 23.83%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 028.42%
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 222.49%
Exactly 39.43%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals1.76%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals59.02%
Wins by 3+ goals37.18%
Wins by 4+ goals19.91%
Wins by 5+ goals9.16%
Wins by 6+ goals3.65%
Wins by 7+ goals1.26%
Wins by 8+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal5.31%
Wins by 2 goals1.45%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal20.55%
Wins by 2 goals21.85%
Wins by 3 goals17.26%
Wins by 4 goals10.76%
Wins by 5 goals5.51%
Wins by 6 goals2.39%
Wins by 7 goals0.90%
Wins by 8 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.73%3.27%
1.585.55%14.45%
2.566.42%33.58%
3.544.61%55.39%
4.525.97%74.03%
5.513.21%86.79%
6.55.93%94.07%
7.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.53%49.47%
1.515.71%84.29%
2.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.39%6.61%
1.575.44%24.56%
2.551.05%48.95%
3.528.96%71.04%
4.513.96%86.04%
5.55.81%94.19%
6.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.48%20.52%
1.546.98%53.02%
2.521.25%78.75%
3.57.66%92.34%
4.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.27%
8.88%
12.07%
10.93%
7.42%
4.03%
1
2.30%
6.25%
8.49%
7.69%
5.22%
2.84%
2
0.81%
2.20%
2.99%
2.71%
1.84%
1.00%
3
0.19%
0.52%
0.70%
0.63%
0.43%
0.23%
NEC Nijmegen
1-02.30%
2-00.81%
2-12.20%
3-00.19%
3-10.52%
3-20.70%
Draw
0-03.27%
1-16.25%
2-22.99%
3-30.63%
AZ Alkmaar
0-18.88%
0-212.07%
1-28.49%
0-310.93%
1-37.69%
2-32.71%
0-47.42%
1-45.22%
2-41.84%
3-40.43%
0-54.03%
1-52.84%
2-51.00%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123456
0
20.52%
25.81%
16.24%
6.81%
2.14%
0.54%
0.11%
1
6.69%
8.41%
5.29%
2.22%
0.70%
0.18%
0.04%
2
1.09%
1.37%
0.86%
0.36%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.12%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-06.69%
2-01.09%
2-11.37%
3-00.12%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-020.52%
1-18.41%
2-20.86%
AZ Alkmaar
0-125.81%
0-216.24%
1-25.29%
0-36.81%
1-32.22%
2-30.36%
0-42.14%
1-40.70%
2-40.11%
0-50.54%
1-50.18%
0-60.11%
Excelsior at Twente
Utrecht at Fortuna Sittard