Groningen at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Groningen

35.4%29.2%35.4%
Groningen WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-105
L 1-6 at Ajax+1500
T 2-2 vs Volendam-130
L 3-2 vs Cambuur-150
L 0-3 at Twente+620
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 4-1 at Volendam+145
L 1-0 vs Twente+235
L 1-0 vs Fortuna Sittard-115
L 2-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1300
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+185+250+245+245-+245+250+278.3
NEC Nijmegen+130+112+110+110-+110+112+113.8
Draw+255+255+235+252-+252+255+273.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+225----+255+255+278.3
NEC Nijmegen+120----+105+105+113.8
Draw+245----+255+255+273.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 40.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +230 to +220
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +123 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 40.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +245 to +235
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2½-116o2½-118o2½-107-o2½-107o2½-107o2½-103
Underu2¾-105u2½-102u2½-102u2½-113-u2½-113u2½-102u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.16%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 410.75%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.48%
Exactly 319.61%
Exactly 54.71%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 033.39%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 033.43%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.07%
Exactly 37.33%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.23%
Exactly 218.67%
Exactly 41.60%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.32%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 060.18%
Exactly 130.56%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 060.21%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals14.10%
Wins by 3+ goals4.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals14.07%
Wins by 3+ goals4.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal21.23%
Wins by 2 goals9.84%
Wins by 3 goals3.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal21.21%
Wins by 2 goals9.82%
Wins by 3 goals3.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.84%11.16%
1.564.36%35.64%
2.537.53%62.47%
3.517.92%82.08%
4.57.17%92.83%
5.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.61%33.39%
1.529.98%70.02%
2.59.89%90.11%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.57%33.43%
1.529.94%70.06%
2.59.87%90.13%
3.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.77%36.23%
1.526.98%73.02%
2.58.31%91.69%
3.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
11.16%
12.23%
6.70%
2.45%
0.67%
0.15%
1
12.24%
13.42%
7.35%
2.68%
0.74%
0.16%
2
6.71%
7.36%
4.03%
1.47%
0.40%
0.09%
3
2.45%
2.69%
1.47%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.67%
0.74%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-012.24%
2-06.71%
2-17.36%
3-02.45%
3-12.69%
3-21.47%
4-00.67%
4-10.74%
4-20.40%
4-30.15%
5-00.15%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.16%
1-113.42%
2-24.03%
3-30.54%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.23%
0-26.70%
1-27.35%
0-32.45%
1-32.68%
2-31.47%
0-40.67%
1-40.74%
2-40.40%
3-40.15%
0-50.15%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
36.23%
18.38%
4.66%
0.79%
0.10%
1
18.40%
9.34%
2.37%
0.40%
0.05%
2
4.67%
2.37%
0.60%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.79%
0.40%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Groningen
1-018.40%
2-04.67%
2-12.37%
3-00.79%
3-10.40%
3-20.10%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-036.23%
1-19.34%
2-20.60%
NEC Nijmegen
0-118.38%
0-24.66%
1-22.37%
0-30.79%
1-30.40%
2-30.10%
0-40.10%
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