Twente at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Twente

50.9%24.4%24.6%
Twente WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.66Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 0

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 2-1 at Feyenoord+500
W 0-3 vs Groningen-220
L 2-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-280
T 1-1 at Heracles Almelo+115
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-165
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Fortuna Sittard-115
L 2-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1300
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-105
L 0-1 at Utrecht+390
L 1-0 vs Ajax+925

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+133+129+125+119-+125+129+125.0
NEC Nijmegen+208+218+210+220-+208+218+252.4
Draw+249+245+225+255-+255+255+267.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+115----+115+115+125.0
NEC Nijmegen+235----+235+235+252.4
Draw+250----+250+250+267.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +125 to +119
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +224 to +218

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twente ML
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +235 to +225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-123o2½-118o2½-118o2½-115-o2½-115o2½-115o2½-108
Underu2½+105u2½+100u2½-102u2½-105-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-108
Under-----u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.55%
Exactly 224.33%
Exactly 415.06%
Exactly 63.73%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.86%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 58.21%
Exactly 71.45%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 019.14%
Exactly 131.65%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 314.42%
Exactly 45.96%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 034.22%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.67%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.31%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 39.48%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 046.51%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 213.63%
Exactly 33.48%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 060.87%
Exactly 130.22%
Exactly 27.50%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals27.17%
Wins by 3+ goals11.60%
Wins by 4+ goals4.05%
Wins by 5+ goals1.18%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals9.16%
Wins by 3+ goals2.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal23.73%
Wins by 2 goals15.57%
Wins by 3 goals7.55%
Wins by 4 goals2.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.90%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal15.39%
Wins by 2 goals6.54%
Wins by 3 goals2.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.45%6.55%
1.575.59%24.41%
2.551.26%48.74%
3.529.15%70.85%
4.514.09%85.91%
5.55.88%94.12%
6.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.86%19.14%
1.549.21%50.79%
2.523.05%76.95%
3.58.63%91.37%
4.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.78%34.22%
1.529.08%70.92%
2.59.41%90.59%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.69%28.31%
1.535.96%64.04%
2.513.42%86.58%
3.53.94%96.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
6.55%
7.02%
3.77%
1.35%
0.36%
1
10.83%
11.61%
6.23%
2.23%
0.60%
2
8.95%
9.60%
5.15%
1.84%
0.49%
3
4.93%
5.29%
2.84%
1.01%
0.27%
4
2.04%
2.19%
1.17%
0.42%
0.11%
5
0.67%
0.72%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
Twente
1-010.83%
2-08.95%
2-19.60%
3-04.93%
3-15.29%
3-22.84%
4-02.04%
4-12.19%
4-21.17%
4-30.42%
5-00.67%
5-10.72%
5-20.39%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.55%
1-111.61%
2-25.15%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
NEC Nijmegen
0-17.02%
0-23.77%
1-26.23%
0-31.35%
1-32.23%
2-31.84%
0-40.36%
1-40.60%
2-40.49%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
28.31%
14.05%
3.49%
0.58%
1
21.67%
10.76%
2.67%
0.44%
2
8.29%
4.12%
1.02%
0.17%
3
2.12%
1.05%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.41%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Twente
1-021.67%
2-08.29%
2-14.12%
3-02.12%
3-11.05%
3-20.26%
4-00.41%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.31%
1-110.76%
2-21.02%
NEC Nijmegen
0-114.05%
0-23.49%
1-22.67%
0-30.58%
1-30.44%
2-30.17%
Volendam at Groningen
Feyenoord at Vitesse