Excelsior at Ajax

Updated

Excelsior

2.9%7.8%89.3%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.50Projected Goals 3.30
1Final Score 7

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen+500
L 1-0 vs Utrecht+375
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard+340
W 1-2 vs Emmen+230
L 2-5 at RKC Waalwijk+350
Ajax
Money Line
W 4-2 at Volendam-675
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-1200
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-500
W 0-4 vs Cambuur-1050

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+1800+2685+2400+2200-+2200+2685+3510.2
Ajax-1000-1273-1800-1300--1300-1273-990.7
Draw+900+1200+1200+1190-+1190+1200+1462.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+2100----+2400+2400+3510.2
Ajax-1250-----1600-1600-990.7
Draw+1150----+1300+1300+1462.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +2768 to +2685
Ajax ML moved from -1281 to -1317

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +2800 to +2400
Ajax ML moved from -1600 to -2000

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4½-102o5+107o5+100o4¾-117-o4¾-117o4¾-117o4½-124
Underu4½-118u5-127u5-120u4¾-103-u4¾-103u5-120u4½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4½-124
Under-----u4½+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.1%
 
No61.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.23%
Exactly 216.14%
Exactly 419.44%
Exactly 69.36%
Exactly 82.42%
Exactly 100.39%
 
Exactly 18.49%
Exactly 320.45%
Exactly 514.78%
Exactly 75.08%
Exactly 91.02%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 060.42%
Exactly 130.44%
Exactly 27.67%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.70%
Exactly 112.19%
Exactly 220.10%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 418.22%
Exactly 512.01%
Exactly 66.60%
Exactly 73.11%
Exactly 81.28%
Exactly 90.47%
Exactly 100.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.20%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 46.88%
Exactly 60.71%
 
Exactly 130.28%
Exactly 315.63%
Exactly 52.42%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 079.19%
Exactly 118.48%
Exactly 22.16%
Exactly 30.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 021.72%
Exactly 133.17%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 312.88%
Exactly 44.92%
Exactly 51.50%
Exactly 60.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals0.55%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals73.78%
Wins by 3+ goals53.34%
Wins by 4+ goals33.44%
Wins by 5+ goals18.22%
Wins by 6+ goals8.70%
Wins by 7+ goals3.66%
Wins by 8+ goals1.35%
Wins by 9+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal2.36%
Wins by 2 goals0.47%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.44%
Wins by 2 goals20.44%
Wins by 3 goals19.91%
Wins by 4 goals15.21%
Wins by 5 goals9.52%
Wins by 6 goals5.04%
Wins by 7 goals2.31%
Wins by 8 goals0.93%
Wins by 9 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.77%2.23%
1.589.27%10.73%
2.573.13%26.87%
3.552.68%47.32%
4.533.24%66.76%
5.518.46%81.54%
6.59.10%90.90%
7.54.02%95.98%
8.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.58%60.42%
1.59.14%90.86%
2.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.30%3.70%
1.584.11%15.89%
2.564.01%35.99%
3.541.91%58.09%
4.523.69%76.31%
5.511.68%88.32%
6.55.08%94.92%
7.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.80%17.20%
1.552.52%47.48%
2.525.87%74.13%
3.510.24%89.76%
4.53.36%96.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.23%
7.37%
12.15%
13.35%
11.01%
7.26%
1
1.13%
3.71%
6.12%
6.73%
5.55%
3.66%
2
0.28%
0.94%
1.54%
1.69%
1.40%
0.92%
Excelsior
1-01.13%
2-00.28%
2-10.94%
Draw
0-02.23%
1-13.71%
2-21.54%
3-30.28%
Ajax
0-17.37%
0-212.15%
1-26.12%
0-313.35%
1-36.73%
2-31.69%
0-411.01%
1-45.55%
2-41.40%
3-40.23%
0-57.26%
1-53.66%
2-50.92%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Ajax
Score0123456
0
17.20%
26.27%
20.05%
10.20%
3.89%
1.19%
0.30%
1
4.01%
6.13%
4.68%
2.38%
0.91%
0.28%
0.07%
2
0.47%
0.71%
0.55%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-04.01%
2-00.47%
2-10.71%
Draw
0-017.20%
1-16.13%
2-20.55%
Ajax
0-126.27%
0-220.05%
1-24.68%
0-310.20%
1-32.38%
2-30.28%
0-43.89%
1-40.91%
2-40.11%
0-51.19%
1-50.28%
0-60.30%
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